1. Water Supply – February 2010
Donkey Reservoir SNOTEL

6. Probability of the Bear Getting Back to Average by April 1 – about 3%
Real Bummer Dude!

8. Probability of the Weber Getting back to Average by April 1 – about the same as me getting an invite to the Oval Office…. About 8%...

10. The probability of the Provo getting back to average by April 1 – about the same as these old BYU gals cracking a smile…
About 10%...

12. Probability of getting back to average by April 1 – about the same… 13%...

14. A split decision
Probability of the Price getting up to average by April 1 – about 20%, for SE Utah, a bit higher…

16. Life is getting better – probability that the Sevier will be average or better by April 1 – about 65%...

17. Donkey Reservoir – reading right on
How do storms miss this point?

19. Its not just the SNOTEL, the general area from the site to Teasdale has very little snow…
Around the corner in Boulder and Escalante – lots of snow…

21. Perhaps as good as it gets…
Already above the April 1 average…
Probability of staying above the April 1 average
About 95%...

23. Most areas are likely to show improvement…

24. X% snowpack will not produce X% runoff this year…
X% snowpack will not produce X% runoff this year…. It is more likely it will be X-soil moisture%

30. It ain’t over till its over, and even then – strange things can happen…