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Assessing the Utility of Prevention of Mother To Child Transmission (PMTCT) Program Data for HIV Surveillance in Kenya Esther Munyisia (NASCOP, Kenya) Nicole Seguy (CDC) Wolfgang Hladik (CDC) Lawrence Marum (CDC-Kenya) September 2004
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Acknowledgments NASCOP, MOH Kenya Peter Cherutich Mary Wangai
Boaz Cheluget CDC/ GAP Kenya Lucy Nganga Dorothy Mbori-Ngacha CDC/ GAP Atlanta Omotayo Bolu Theresa Diaz Stefan Wiktor Nathan Shaffer Meade Morgan
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Ante-natal Clinic (ANC) Based HIV Surveillance
Core surveillance system for generalized epidemics (HIV prevalence in adults > 1%) Strength: Testing without informed consent on left-over blood – minimal self-selection bias Weakness: HIV test result not used for counseling, care, treatment
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PMTCT Programs Target same group (ANC clients)
Rapid expansion in many countries – vast amount of testing data Opportunity to use PMTCT testing data for surveillance Limited information on comparability of HIV prevalence estimates from PMTCT programs to those in ANC sentinel surveillance Testing with informed consent – self selection bias >> refusers may differ in HIV-status from consenters
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Study Rationale - Kenya
Generalized HIV epidemic National HIV prevalence in ANC clients: 9.4% (2003) Rapid expansion of PMTCT <10 sites (2001) 130 (2003)
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Objectives To describe availability and quality of PMTCT data
To compare HIV prevalence estimates from PMTCT program data to those from ANC surveillance data To identify determinants for differences between PMTCT and ANC surveillance based HIV estimates
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HIV Sentinel Surveillance System in Kenya
Annual surveys in 42 ANC sites Women sampled at first ANC visit; >10,000 in 2003 HIV testing: Blood left over after routine syphilis testing Unlinked Anonymous Testing (UAT) without informed consent Determine ® rapid test Transcribed data: age, marital status, education, urban/rural residence, # abortions, # live births, syphilis test result
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PMTCT Services in Kenya
130 clinics HIV testing: Based on voluntary counseling and testing ANC clients may accept HIV testing at any visit ANC clients may refuse HIV testing HIV testing algorithm: Determine ® and Unigold ® rapid tests in parallel
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Methods (1) Six clinics selected where both ANC surveillance and PMTCT programs present in 2003: Located in 4 of 6 Kenyan provinces 3 urban, 2 rural, 1 “mixed” site ANC surveillance data (2003): provided by National AIDS and STIs Control Program PMTCT data: Line list data not routinely available Captured data by digital photography PMTCT sampling period = ANC surveillance period
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Methods (2) Line list PMTCT data entered (Epi info) for all ANC attendees with first ANC visit during UAT sampling period Where Unigold ® and Determine ® discordant, Determine ® result entered HIV testing uptake for PMTCT = # ANC attendees with test result # first ANC visits during study period Compared PMTCT data with ANC surveillance data
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PMTCT Counseling Logbook
ANCNo PMTCT No Age Marital Status Determine Unigold
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Results Availability and Quality of Line List PMTCT Data
Data recorded in 2 or 3 logbooks Limited access - permanently in use Logbook format lacked standardization Number and order of variables varied by site and over time within same site
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Accepted PMTCT HIV testing Refused PMTCT HIV testing
Groups compared PMTCT N=2,239 UAT N=1,852 Accepted PMTCT HIV testing N= 1258 Refused PMTCT HIV testing N= 981 Reference group - all tested for HIV
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HIV Testing Uptake in PMTCT Group
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HIV Testing Uptake by Site
Overall HIV testing uptake= 56%
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Variables Associated with HIV Testing Uptake (4 sites)
Accepted HIV testing Crude OR 95% CI Age group 12-24 yrs 25-49 yrs 68.7% 62.6% 1.3 Gravidity Primigravida Multigravida 71.5% 63.4% 1.4 UAT HIV prevalence >10% <=10% 69.6% 50.8% 2.2
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Variables Associated with HIV Testing Uptake (4 sites)
Accepted HIV testing Crude OR 95% CI Adj. OR* Age group 12-24 yrs 25-49 yrs 68.7% 62.6% 1.3 1.1 Gravidity Primigravida Multigravida 71.5% 63.4% 1.4 UAT HIV prevalence >10% <=10% 69.6% 50.8% 2.2 2.1 * Logistic regression
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HIV Prevalence in ANC Surveillance (UAT) and in PMTCT Program Data
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UAT and PMTCT HIV Prevalence by Age Group (all Sites)
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UAT and PMTCT HIV prevalence by site
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UAT and PMTCT HIV Prevalence by Testing Uptake Group
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Limitations Study limited to 6 sites
ANC clients in UAT and PMTCT data set not linkable not 100% identical Small variability in HIV testing uptake across sites Limited number of variables Several factors influencing HIV testing uptake not explored (stigma, maturation of PMTCT services)
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Conclusion At most sites PMTCT data over-estimated HIV prevalence compared to UAT data Line list PMTCT data varied in accessibility and quality laborious to use for analysis Factors influencing HIV testing uptake for PMTCT: Gravidity Level of HIV prevalence in the area
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Conclusion/Recommendations
In Kenya PMTCT data can currently complement but not replace UAT data Improving line list PMTCT data quality necessary for use in surveillance Standardization of logbook format recommended
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Thank You
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