1. Announcements Project- Make sure you email me the project report
Grades- progress grades go out this week.
Next week- Parent Teacher Conferences
Weird Schedule

2. Quiz #4 P(male)= P(SUV)= P(Sports Car and male)= P(SUV \ male)=
P(SUV or male)=

3. Greed 5 rounds Everyone stands
Throw a die. This is your score. If you’re happy with that score, sit down and record this value as your score for the round
If someone is still standing, keep rolling.
If a 1 is rolled, anyone standing loses all their points for that round and sits.

4. Greed
Round 1 2 3 4 5
Total
Score

5. Greed Add your total to the stemplot
Discuss strategies with your partner. Play again.

6. Greed Play one more game with two-dice
Write down two strategies that give you the highest score

7. Greed One Die Strategies? Sample Space? P(getting a one)=? Two- Dice
P(getting snake eyes)=?

9. Vocab
Random Variable
Probability Distribution

10. Apgar Scores P( healthy baby)= P( X > 3)= P(X = 2)=1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
p(X)
0.001
0.006
0.007
0.008
0.012
0.020
0.038
0.099
0.319
0.437
0.053
P( healthy baby)=
P( X > 3)=
P(X = 2)=
Healthy babies have a score btwn 7 and 10
APGAR- named for Dr. Apgar, also acronym for five scales: Appearance, Pulse, Grimace, Activity, and Respiration.

11. Roulette American roulette wheel Simple $1 bet on either red or black
If ball lands in slot of that color, the player gets the original dollar back, plus an additional dollar for winning the bet. Otherwise, you lose.
38 slots 1-36, 0, 00. Half of 1-36 are red, black. 0 and 00 are green

13. Roulette
Value
-$1 $1
Probability

14. Expected value
Multiply each possible value by its probability then adding them up
Expected value=
Law of large numbers

15. Apgar Scores What is the mean (expected value)? X 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
p(X)
0.001
0.006
0.007
0.008
0.012
0.020
0.038
0.099
0.319
0.437
0.053
What is the mean (expected value)?
APGAR- named for Dr. Apgar, also acronym for five scales: Appearance, Pulse, Grimace, Activity, and Respiration.

16. Draw an Ace
Draw cards until you get an Ace. Record how many cards you had to select.
Do this 10 times
Get Data from 4 other people (so 50 trials total)

17. Ace Put your data in List 1 Find expected value Graph (histogram)
Describe the data (SOCS)

18. Spinning/Tossing Coin
Spin 20 times and record the number of heads w/o putty
Toss 20 times and record the number of heads w/o putty
Spin 20 times and record the number of heads w/putty
Toss 20 times and record the number of heads w/putty

19. Coin Combine your data with 4 other people
Did the putty make a difference when tossing? If yes, in what direction?
Did the putty make a difference when spinning? If yes, in what direction?
Which was the most probable?
Which was the least probable?

20. Birthdays
There are 30 students in Austin’s precalculus class, all unrelated. He wants to bet you $1 that at least 2 students were born on the same day of the year. Should you take the bet?

21. Birthdays Probability model
Birth date is equally likely to be any of the 365 days of the year (ignoring Feb 29th)
The birth dates of different people are independent

22. Birthdays
Describe how to use your calculator to simulate 30 random birthdays from the 365 possible days
Carry out your simulation. Perform 20 repetitions.
Combine your results with 3 other people.
Should you take Austin’s bet?
2,1,0,2,2,1,3,1,1,1,4,0,3,2,0,2,0,0,2, /20 (don’t add, just count how many instances)

23. “High-Low”
Hi-Lo is a very simple card game. A dealer ("the house") starts with a deck of cards and turns over the top card. The player then guesses whether the next card in the deck will be higher or lower than that card. If the guess is correct, the player wins that round. If the guess is wrong, the house wins that round. If the two cards are equal, it's a tie: neither side wins or loses.

24. “High-Low”
The best strategy allows the player to guess correctly more than 70% of the time. How do you go about finding that strategy?