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Petroleum Development and Environmental Conflict in Aotearoa NZ
Dr Terrence Loomis
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The NZ petroleum industry
Over 100 years in existence, concentrated in the Taranaki region 17 other petroleum basins with ‘huge unexplored potential’ More than 20 major and medium capital E&P companies operating Over 190 drilling, geoscience, engineering and service companies Crude oil exports contributed $2.2 billion to GDP (in 2009) $700 million in royalties & tax revenues (in 2009) 3700 full time employees (in 2010) 275 exploration permits issued since 1995
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Why National chose to expand O&G development in NZ?
The 2008 international financial crisis (the Great Recession) A mounting government debt burden and lagging GDP A ‘sustainable GROWTH’ (neoliberal) ideology informing economic development policy A global commodities boom; O&G industry interest in NZ’s ‘frontier’ potential Formulation of the Business Growth Agenda aimed at boosting petroleum exports tenfold to $30 bn by 2020
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Government’s manoeuvres to expedite oil and gas development
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A coordinated legislative reform agenda (RMA etc)
‘Factual’ information dissemination (MBIE: E Coast) Ministerial propaganda, cheerleading and jawboning Subverting local community power Agenda-driven funding: subsidising international investment and ‘buying’ community compliance Encouraging local government gate-keeping and O&G advocacy
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Industry strategies to promote and defend the oil and gas industry
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PR spin and ‘reasoned’ debate targeted at Middle NZ
Neutralising environmental opposition Influencing government policies and regulations Co-opting communities and ‘partnering’ with iwi
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Environmentalist & community group activities
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Grassroots research – sometimes called “citizen science”
Public awareness-raising, information dissemination and education Engaging with and influencing government institutions Organisation, multi-level networking and alliance-building Confronting oil and gas corporations and exposing their strategies Māori self-determined development and anti-oil resistance
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Is government investment in O&G devt a good idea? the global context
Unconventional (fracking) shale gas/tight oil boom & bust Increasingly volatile oil and gas markets Mounting evidence of industry risk and harm Paris Climate Accords (leave 70% of reserves unburned) Growing shareholder/finance sector concern over ‘stranded assets’ & govt subsidies Big Oil companies planning to transition out of fossil fuels TAG Oil’s Waitangi Valley-1 well, Gisborne
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Local context: Unimpressive industry performance
Job, contractor cuts: Taranaki 7.3% unemployment in 2015 (highest in NZ) Crude oil contribution to GDP $1.7b in 2016, down 23% over five years Rapid drop in annual permits (1 in 2016); only 17% of 275 issued still active Royalties and tax revenues down from $700m in 2009 to just over $300m last year Permit fees down 32% over past six years 150 ‘dangerous occurrence notifications’ reported to the High Hazards Unit between Companies exiting or reducing CAPEX, focusing on seismic & existing production, and hoping for a market upturn (i.e. boom and bust cycles)
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Political conflict has undermined state and civil/LG sector institutional relations
Paternalistic state centralism is undercutting emergent localism & community empowerment Representative governance superseding participatory democracy ‘Sustainable growth’ pre- empting a ‘sustainable development’ approach to resource management
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Four key messages from my research
1. Mounting evidence of petroleum industry risk and harm 2. The petroleum industry is a bad government investment 3. Government’s push for expanded O&G development is undermining long-standing institutional relations and values between the state and civil society 4. Communities, NGOs & councils have less influence over energy policy, regional development & natural resource management (signs of the ‘Resource Curse’?)
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Lexington Books An imprint of Rowman & Littlefield, Lanham, MD USA
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