1. Twenty Years of the FIU Cuba Poll
  The Cuban-American Transition: Demographic and Ideological Change in the Cuban-American Community
Twenty Years of the FIU Cuba Poll

2. Cuba Poll 1997-2016 (N and Margin of Error)

3. Unrestricted Travel for All Americans

4. Continue Embargo

5. Sale of Food

6. Favor Selling Food and Medicine (by Poll Year)

7. The Issue of Travel to Cuba

8. Embargo and Diplomatic Relations (by Poll Year)

9. On Political Lag

10. Party Registration (By Poll Year)

11. Citizens (Eligible by Years of Arrival: 2016 Cuba Poll)

12. Citizens Registered to Vote (By Period of Arrival: 2016 Cuba Poll)

13. Political Party Registration (By Time of Departure: 2016 Cuba Poll)

14. The 2016 Vote: Does Trump owe Cubans the Florida Win?

15. Cuban-American voters accounted for approximately six percent (564,938) of the 9,415,638 Florida voters who cast a ballot for President. (Source: CNN, Florida Division of Elections. Retrieved: 11/13/16 at 3:47 PM.

16. Trump won the state by approximately 113,000 votes.
Clinton won little under 50% of the Cuban-American vote (Pew Research Center). Let’s call it 44% to be conservative. (248,572)
Even if Clinton had improved her performance by 10 percentage points among Cuban-Americans, (and received 54% of their vote) this would have gained her only an additional 62,143 votes. Well short of her deficit.
Gary Johnson received 207,043. Might as well give him the credit.
As FiveThirtyEight pointed out, “Cuban-Americans would have needed to vote for Hillary Clinton by an impossibly wide margin to swing the election her way, and Trump would have won the state if they hadn’t voted at all.”

17. Hillary Clinton improved on Obama’s numbers in Cuban precincts “Cubanos” (Trump won these areas 50% a 48%)

18. A Referendum on Obama Policies?

19. Support for new policies initiated by U. S
Support for new policies initiated by U.S. government (2016 Cuba Polls)
44.0%  Strongly Favor
20.3%  Mostly Favor
9.8%  Mostly 
Oppose
25.9%  Strongly 
Strongly Favor
44.0%
38.2%
Mostly Favor
20.3%
17.6%
Mostly Oppose
9.8%
8.6%
Strongly Oppose
25.9%
22.5%
Don’t Know
6.5%
No Response
5.2%

20. If election were held today… Clinton or Trump
If election were held today… Clinton or Trump? (Asked only of registered voters-July 11-August 14, 2016)
32.9%  Clinton
37.4%  Trump
18.8%  Neither
11.0%  
Undecided
Clinton
31.4
Trump
35.5
Neither
17.8
Undecided
10.4 NA
5.2

21. Supporters of New Policies (by candidate preference)

22. Clinton/Trump voters on embargo

23. 2016 FIU Cuba Poll View online at cri.fiu.edu Thank you!