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Corporate Financial Theory
Lecture 10
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Derivatives Insurance Risk Management Lloyds Ship Building Jet Fuel Cost Predictability Revenue Certainty 1
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Underlying Assets Stocks (example) Bonds Indices
Commodities (examples for metal and ag.) Currencies Weather Carbon emissions Radio bandwidth
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Derivative Uses Arbitrage Speculation Hedging
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Derivatives Definition
Derivatives are financial instruments whose price and value derive from the value of the underlying assets or other variables (ISDA) Derivatives are a “zero sum game” Example: Insurance
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Derivatives & Options Historical Topics (Internal to the Corp) 1 - Capital Budgeting (Investment) 2 - Capital Structure (Financing) Today We are leaving Internal Corporate Finance We are going to Wall St & “Capital Markets” Options - financial and corporate Options are a type of derivative 1
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Options 5
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Options Terminology Derivatives - Any financial instrument that is derived from another. (e.g.. options, warrants, futures, swaps, etc.) Option - Gives the holder the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price during a specified period of time. Call Option - The right to buy a security at a specified price within a specified time. Put Option - The right to sell a security at a specified price within a specified time. Option Premium - The price paid for the option, above the price of the underlying security. Intrinsic Value - Diff between the strike price and the stock price Time Premium - Value of option above the intrinsic value 2
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Options Terminology Exercise Price - (Striking Price) The price at which you buy or sell the security. Expiration Date - The last date on which the option can be exercised. American Option - Can be exercised at any time prior to and including the expiration date. European Option - Can be exercised only on the expiration date. All options “usually” act like European options because you make more money if you sell the option before expiration (vs. exercising it). 3 vs =2 3
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Option Value The value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise price. 6
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Option Value The value of an option at expiration is a function of the stock price and the exercise price. Example - Option values given a exercise price of $85 7
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Options CBOE Success 1 - Creation of a central options market place. 2 - Creation of Clearing Corp - the guarantor of all trades. 3 - Standardized expiration dates - 3rd Friday 4 - Created a secondary market 4
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Option Value Components of the Option Price 1 - Underlying stock price
2 - Striking or Exercise price 3 - Volatility of the stock returns (standard deviation of annual returns) 4 - Time to option expiration 5 - Time value of money (discount rate) 22
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Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
Option Value Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model 23
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Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
OC- Call Option Price P - Stock Price N(d1) - Cumulative normal density function of (d1) PV(EX) - Present Value of Strike or Exercise price N(d2) - Cumulative normal density function of (d2) r - discount rate (90 day comm paper rate or risk free rate) t - time to maturity of option (as % of year) v - volatility - annualized standard deviation of daily returns 7
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Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
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Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
N(d1)= 8
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Cumulative Normal Density Function
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Call Option Example What is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40 EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365 11
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.3070 = .3 = .00 = .007 11
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Call Option Example What is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40 EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365 12
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Call Option Example What is the price of a call option given the following? P = 36 r = 10% v = .40 EX = 40 t = 90 days / 365 13
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Put Price = Call + EX - P - Carrying Cost + Div.
Put - Call Parity Put Price = Call + EX - P - Carrying Cost + Div. or Put = Call + EX(e-rt)– Ps - Carrying Cost + Div. Carrying cost = r x EX x t 14
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Put - Call Parity Example
ABC is selling at $41 a share. A six month May 40 Call is selling for $4.00. If a May $ .50 dividend is expected and r=10%, what is the put price? OP = OC + EX - P - Carrying Cost + Div. OP = (.10x 40 x .50) + .50 OP = Op = $1.50 15
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Warrants & Convertibles
Review Topics (not going over in class) Warrant - a call option with a longer time to expiration. Value a warrant as an option, plus factor in dividends and dilution. Convertible - Bond with the option to exchange it for stock. Value as a regular bond + a call option. Won’t require detailed valuation - general concept on valuation + new option calc and old bond calc. 17
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Option Strategies Option Strategies are viewed via charts.
How do you chart an option? Profit Loss Stock Price 18
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Option Strategies Long Stock Bought Ps = 100 19
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Option Strategies Long Call Bought Oc = 3 S=27 Ps=30 20
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Option Strategies Short Call Sold Oc = 3 S=27 Ps=30 21
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Option Strategies Long Put = Buy Op = 2 S=15 Ps=13 22
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Option Strategies Short Put = Sell Op = 2 S=15 Ps=13 23
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Option Strategies Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call @
Oc = Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27 + 1 . 5 P / L P s 2 4 2 7 3 - 1 . 5 28
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Option Strategies Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call @
Oc = Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27 + 1 . 5 P / L P s 2 4 2 7 3 - 1 . 5 29
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Option Strategies Synthetic Stock = Short Put & Long Call @
Oc = Op=1.50 S=27 Ps=27 30
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Option Strategies Why? 1 - Reduce risk - butterfly spread
2 - Gamble - reverse straddle 3 - Arbitrage - as in synthetics Arbitrage - If the price of a synthetic stock is different than the price of the actual stock, an opportunity for profit exists. Recall discussion on Real Options 36
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Dilution Exercise of a warrant increases the number of shares outstanding. The dilution factor reflects that fact.
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Expanding the binomial model to allow more possible price changes
Binomial vs. Black Scholes Expanding the binomial model to allow more possible price changes 1 step steps steps (2 outcomes) (3 outcomes) (5 outcomes) etc. etc.
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