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CTC 475 Review Is a certain cash flow economically feasible?

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Presentation on theme: "CTC 475 Review Is a certain cash flow economically feasible?"— Presentation transcript:

1 CTC 475 Review Is a certain cash flow economically feasible?

2 Methods for Determining if an Alternative is Economically Feasible
CTC 475 Methods for Determining if an Alternative is Economically Feasible

3 Objectives Know the various methods for determining if an alternative is economically feasible Be able to use any method for economic feasibility studies

4 Methods for Economic Feasibility Studies
Present Worth (PW) Annual Worth (AW) Future Worth (FW) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) External Rate of Return (ERR) Savings/Investment Ratio (SIR) or Benefit/Cost Ratio (B/C) Payback Period Method (PBP) Capitalized Worth Method (CW)

5 Equivalent Methods PW AW FW IRR ERR SIR or B/C

6 Nonequivalent Methods
PBP CW

7 When is an alternative feasible?
PW > 0 AW > 0 FW > 0 IRR > MARR ERR > MARR SIR or B/C > 1

8 Net Cash Flows It’s a good idea to use net cash flows (one cash flow at each period). It doesn’t matter with respect to whether a project is feasible or not; however, absolute numbers (ERR and SIR) may differ

9 Example (MARR=10%) EOY Cash Flow -$40K 1 $5K 2 $8K 3 $11K 4 $14K 5 6 7
-$40K 1 $5K 2 $8K 3 $11K 4 $14K 5 6 7 8

10 Cash flow breakdown-show on board
Years 1-4: Uniform ($5K) + Gradient ($3K) n=4 P will occur at t=0 F will occur at t=4 Years 5-8: Uniform ($14K) - Gradient ($3K) P will occur at t=4 F will occur at t=8

11 Present Worth PW= -40K+5K(P/A10,4)+3K(P/G10,4)
+[14K(P/A10,4)- 3K(P/G10,4)](P/F10,4) PW= -40K+5K(3.1699)+3K(4.3781) +[14K(3.1699)-3K(4.3781)]*0.6830 PW= +$10,324 PW>0 ; therefore, cash flow is economically feasible

12 Annual Worth Find A given P AW=PW(A/P10,8) AW=$10,324(.1874) AW=$1,935
AW>0; therefore, cash flow is economically feasible

13 Future Worth FW=PW(F/P10,8) or PW(1.1)8 FW=$10,324(2.1436) FW=$22,130
FW= AW(F/A10,8) FW=$1,935( ) FW=$22,128 FW>0; therefore, cash flow is economically feasible

14 Future Worth-Alternate Method
FW= -40K(F/P10,8)+[5K+3K(A/G10,4)](F/A10,4)(F/P10,4) +[14K-3K(A/G10,4)](F/A10,4) FW=-$85,744+($9,144)(6.7949)+($9,856)(4.6410) FW=+$22,129

15 Future Worth-Alternate Method “Snail”Method Using Single Sums
FW= -40K(F/P10,8)+5K(F/P10,7)+8K(F/P10,6)+11K(F/P10,5) 14K(F/P10,4)+14K(F/P10,3)+11K(F/P10,2)+8K(F/P10,1) +5K FW=-$85,744+$9,744 +$14,172+ $17,716 +$20,497+$18,634+$13,310+$8,800+$5,000 FW=+$22,129

16 IRR-Find i that gives a PW=0
PW= -40K+5K(P/Ai,4)+3K(P/Gi,4) +[14K(P/Ai,4)- 3K(P/Gi,4)](P/Fi,4) Interpolate to get an IRR = 16.5% IRR>MARR i(%) PW 10 +$10,324 12 +$6,723 15 +$1,994 18 -$2,064

17 ERR: Set FW of + using MARR = FW of – using ERR; solve for ERR
FW(+) = 5K+3K(A/G10,4)](F/A10,4)(F/P10,4) +[14K-3K(A/G10,4)](F/A10,4) = $107,873 FW(-) = 40K(1+ERR)8 40K(1+ERR)8 = $107,873 (1+ERR)8 = ERR=13.2% ERR>MARR Check: MARR=10%; ERR=13.2%; IRR=16.5%

18 SIR or B/C SIR=PW(+)/PW(-) PW(-)=$40,000 SIR=$50,324/$40,000=1.26
PW(+)=5K(P/A10,4)+3K(P/G10,4) +[14K(P/A10,4)- 3K(P/G10,4)](P/F10,4)=$50,324 PW(-)=$40,000 SIR=$50,324/$40,000=1.26 SIR>1

19 PBP-Payback Period If MARR=0 how many periods does it take to get your investment back? At 1 year; $5K<$40K At 2 years: $13K<$40K At 3 years: $24K<$40K At 4 years: $38K<$40K At 5 years: $52K>$40K PBP is 5 years

20 Next lecture Bonds


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