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Foreign and Security Policy
East and Central Europe in Transition
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Warsaw Pact Response to NATO Goals primarily Moscow’s
Keep Germany divided Push back starting point of land invasion Expand Communism [Stalin, but not necessarily Khrushchev] Brezhnev Doctrine
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Comecon/CMEA Economic interdependence counter to Common Market
planning specialisation
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After “Independence” Let’s all join NATO Let’s all join European Union
Who’s really European? Yanks go home? Prevent revival of Communism and/or Moscow dominance Any old scores need settling?
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Conflicts Polish posession of Silesia and half East Prussia
Prussia: Konigsberg/Kaliningrad Transylvania Ruthenia
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Diasporas Bulgarian Turks Dispossessed Germans from 1945-8
Russians in Ukraine, Latvia, Estonia Crimean Tartars Dispossessed and Murdered East European Jewish families from fascist period Emigrants to U.S., exiled dissidents and defectors
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Moscow’s nearby concerns
Far East: Kuriles and Amur/Ussuri river frontiers Central Asia: Islamic fundamentalism and Tajikistan Caucasus:Chechnya,Abkhazia,Nagorno-Karabakh, South Ossetia Europe: CIS or “near abroad”; Baltic States; former Communist states; Western Europe
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Moscow’s global concerns
UN role: wants to be taken seriously Relations with US: partnership turning to rivalry: Serbia, Iraq, other conflicts of interest? Needs to sell something on world market. What is its economic role to be? What relations are possible with Japan, Germany, France and China?
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