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to the USAF Air War College
Biological Weapons Presented by Dr. Kenneth Alibek to the USAF Air War College November 1, 1999 HADRON, INC.
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Weapons of Mass Destruction
Chemical Biological Nuclear TACTICAL STRATEGIC
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Factors in BW Effectiveness
Choice of agent Deployment method Formulation Manufacturing process Meteorological and terrain conditions
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Types of BW Threat Bacterial weapons Viral weapons Rickettsial weapons
Fungal weapons Toxin weapons Peptide weapons (a variant of toxin weapons)
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Partial Listing of Known Biological Weapons Agents
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BW Deployment Methods Vector Contamination of food and water sources
Aerosol (the most effective deployment method)
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Soviet Biological Weapons Developed and Approved for Use
Tularemia Glanders VEE Smallpox Plague Anthrax Q Fever (<1990) Marburg (>1990) STRATEGIC OPERATIONAL
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Biological Weapons Being Developed--Late ‘80s/Early ‘90s
NATURAL STRAINS Ebola Bolivian hemorrhagic fever Argentinian hemorrhagic fever Melioidosis Lassa fever Japanese encephalitis Russian spring-summer encephalitis
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Biological Weapons Being Developed--Late ‘80s/Early ‘90s
GENETICALLY ENGINEERED STRAINS Antibiotic-resistant (AR) plague AR tularemia AR anthrax Antibiotic- and sulfonamide-resistant glanders Immune system-overcoming (IO) plague IO tularemia IO anthrax Smallpox with VEE genes inserted
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Types of Biological Weapons
DRY Tularemia Anthrax Brucellosis Marburg LIQUID Smallpox Plague Anthrax VEE
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BW Manufacturing Capacities Ministry of Defense
Sverdlovsk facility--anthrax 100+ tons stockpiled Production capacity > 1000 tons annually Kirov facility--plague 20 tons stockpiled Production capacity ~ 200 tons annually Zagorsk facility--smallpox Production capacity ~ 100 tons annually Strizhi (new facility)
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BW Manufacturing Capacities Biopreparat
Berdsk facility--plague, tularemia, glanders Production capacity > 1000 tons annually Stepnogorsk facility--anthrax, tularemia, glanders Omutninsk facility--plague, tularemia, glanders
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BW Manufacturing Capacities Biopreparat (cont.)
Kurgan facility--anthrax Production capacity > 1000 tons annually Penza facility--anthrax Koltsovo facility--Marburg, smallpox Exact production capacity unknown; dozens of tons annually
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BW Manufacturing Capacities Ministry of Agriculture
Pokrov facility--smallpox, VEE Production capacity > 200 tons annually
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Munitions, Submunitions, Delivery Means
Aviation bombs with “biological” bomblets for strategic and medium bombers Spray tanks installed on medium bombers Multiwarhead ballistic missiles with bomblet warheads Cruise missiles with special disseminating devices (under development)
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Epidemiological Pattern of Smallpox Weapon
New foci of secondary infection Contaminated zone Infected zone Zone of initial explosion
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Epidemiological Pattern of Tularemia Weapon
Contaminated zone Infected zone Zone of initial explosion
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Epidemiological Pattern of Plague Weapon
New foci of secondary infection Contaminated zone Infected zone Zone of initial explosion
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Epidemiological Pattern of Anthrax Weapon
Contaminated zone Zone of initial explosion Infected zone
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Modes of Infection PRIMARY AEROSOL
Caused by aerosols that form immediately after dissemination Affect “target objects” before sedimentation SECONDARY AEROSOL Caused by aerosols which have already sedimented, but have aerosolized again due to wind or activity (building ventilation, vehicular activity, street cleaning, maintenance, etc.)
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Modes of Infection (cont.)
SECONDARY DROPLET Caused by droplet aerosols secreted by people who were infected by primary or secondary aerosols Seen only with agents contagious by respiratory droplet infection SECONDARY NON-AEROSOL Transmitted by infected animals (rodents, insect parasites) directly or via objects, food or water, OR Transmitted by contaminated objects (without involving aerosolization)
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Effectiveness of the USSR’s BW
Specific expenditure value (Q50) = amount of BW required to affect 50% of the population evenly distributed over one square kilometer (open area) Smallpox, anthrax, tularemia, plague, VEE, glanders: Q50 ~ 3-5 kg/km2 Marburg, dry form (and theoretically dry Ebola): Q50 ~ 1 kg/km2
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Current Defenses Against Biological Weapons
Physical: Early Detection Limited Capability Protective Gear Inadequate Unrealistic
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Current Defenses Against Biological Weapons
Medical: Vaccines Available for < 10% of known agents Genetic engineering can render ineffective Weeks / months to become effective Supplies inadequate Not cost effective Pre-treatment Depends on luck Treatment Marginal success
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Medical Research Targets
Treating and preventing a broad spectrum of infections by modulating the immune system Treating and preventing specific infections caused by biological weapons
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Dr. Kenneth Alibek HADRON, INC. 7611 Little River Turnpike Suite 404W
Annandale, VA (703)
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