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2017 Summer Wildfire Smoke Updates
Erik Saganić Air Quality Scientist Advisory Council September 2017
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Why such historic smoke events?
Wettest rain season on record for many areas Spurred growth of understory, increasing available fuel to burn Then driest summer on record for many areas
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Three wildfire smoke events
3 wildfire smoke events from: BC wildfires August 1-10 Poor air quality, lots of air quality records broken (Stage 1) burn ban issued CA/OR and Norse Peak fire August 28-29 Short-duration air quality impact No burn ban issued Local and distant fires September 4-7 Lower pollution levels (mostly MODERATE) Lots of interest due to the ash No burn bans issued
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Summer Smoke (fine particle) Levels
= Under an air quality burn ban
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Summer Smog (ozone) Levels
Less sun to create much ozone here Record ozone levels here
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Exceptional Events EPA has a process that “flags” data that does not apply toward the federal standards Wildfire impacts qualify as exceptional events Ozone is harder to demonstrate when levels would have already been high on hot days
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Ozone summary (preliminary)
4th Highest Values for 2017: Enumclaw: 97 ppb (3-year average 77 ppb) Issaquah: 85 ppb (3-year average 66 ppb) North Bend: 84 ppb (3-year average 66 ppb) Federal standard is 70 ppb (over 3-year average)
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Fine particle summary (preliminary)
8th highest values for 2017: Non-regulatory monitors in grey But we still have 3 months left of winter in 2017… Site Concentration (micrograms per cubic meter) Puyallup 51 North Bend 43 Darrington 42 Kent 36 Seattle 10th and Weller 31 Tacoma South L 30 Tukwila Allentown Seattle Beacon Hill Tacoma S 36th 29 Lynnwood 28 Marysville 27 Bremerton Spruce 24
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Public interest and communications
- This post received 250,000 Facebook views - 42,000 Twitter impressions on related post - 25% increase in who “likes” the Agency (now 3,800)
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Lessons learned Summer vs Winter Burn Ban
More emphasis on health than regulation needed Overlap with fire safety burn bans All our smoke models are very uncertain, but brand new satellites were very helpful Risk perception of large (ash) vs fine particles
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Lessons learned (page 2)
Coordinating our message with all the local health departments takes time Health messages need translation ahead of time to better reach communities with limited English proficiency Gained useful feedback quickly on the new website with lots of users
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Thanks for your attention
Erik Saganic
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