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8 Basic Macroeconomic Relationships.

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Presentation on theme: "8 Basic Macroeconomic Relationships."— Presentation transcript:

1 8 Basic Macroeconomic Relationships

2 Chapter Objectives How Changes in Income Affect Consumption (and Saving) About Factors Other Than Income That Can Affect Consumption How Changes in Real Interest Rates Affect Investment About Factors Other Than the Real Interest Rate That Can Affect Investment Why Changes in Investment Increase or Decrease Real GDP by a Multiple Amount

3 Basic Relationships Income-Consumption Income-Saving 45° Line
C = DI on the Line S = DI - C

4 Income and Consumption
Consumption and Disposable Income, 83 86 85 84 88 89 91 90 87 92 93 94 95 01 97 96 99 98 00 02 05 03 04 45° Reference Line C=DI C Saving In 1992 Consumption (billions of dollars) Consumption In 1992 45° Disposable Income (billions of dollars)

5 Consumption and Saving
The Consumption Schedule The Saving Schedule Break-Even Income Average Propensity to Consume (APC) Average Propensity to Save (APS) O 8.1 APC = Consumption Income APS = Saving Income

6 Consumption and Saving
Marginal Propensity to Consume (MPC) Marginal Propensity to Save (MPS) MPC = Change in Consumption Change in Income MPS = Change in Saving Change in Income

7 Consumption and Saving
(1) Level of Output And Income (GDP=DI) (2) Consump- tion (C) (3) Saving (S) (1-2) (4) Average Propensity to Consume (APC) (2)/(1) (5) to Save (APS) (3)/(1) (6) Marginal (MPC) Δ(2)/Δ(1) (7) (MPS) Δ(3)/Δ(1) $370 390 410 430 450 470 490 510 530 550 $375 390 405 420 435 450 465 480 495 510 $-5 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1.01 1.00 .99 .98 .97 .96 .95 .94 .93 -.01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .75 .25

8 Consumption and Saving
Consumption and Saving Schedules 500 475 450 425 400 375 45° C Saving $5 Billion Consumption Schedule Consumption (billions of dollars) Dissaving $5 Billion Disposable Income (billions of dollars) 50 25 Dissaving $5 Billion Saving Schedule (billions of dollars) Saving S Saving $5 Billion

9 Consumption and Saving
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Average Propensities to Consume Select Nations GDPs Average Propensities to Consume United States Canada United Kingdom Japan Germany Netherlands Italy France .963 .958 .953 .942 .896 .893 .840 .833 Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2006

10 Consumption and Saving
MPC + MPS = 1 MPC and MPS as Slopes Nonincome Determinants of Consumption and Saving Wealth Effect Expectations Real Interest Rates Household Debt W 8.1

11 Consumption and Saving
Other Important Considerations Changes Along Schedules Switch to Real GDP Schedule Shifts Stability Taxation G 8.1

12 Consumption and Saving
Consumption and Saving Schedules C1 45° C0 C2 Consumption (billions of dollars) Disposable Income (billions of dollars) S2 (billions of dollars) Saving S0 S1

13 Interest Rate and Investment
Expected Rate of Return (r) The Real Interest Rate (i) Meaning of r = i Investment Demand Curve O 8.2 G 8.2

14 Interest Rate and Investment
The Investment Demand Curve Expected Rate of Return (r) Cumulative Amount of Investment Having This Return or Higher (i) r and i (percent) 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Investment (billions of dollars) 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% $ 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 ID

15 Interest Rate and Investment
Shifts of the Investment Demand Curve Acquisition, Maintenance, and Operating Costs Business Taxes Technological Change Stock of Capital Goods on Hand Expectations

16 Interest Rate and Investment
Shifts in the Investment Demand Curve Increase in Investment Demand r and i (percent) Decrease in Investment Demand ID2 ID0 ID1 Investment (billions of dollars)

17 Interest Rate and Investment
Instability of Investment Durability Irregularity of Innovation Variability of Profits Variability of Expectations

18 Interest Rate and Investment
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE Gross Investment Expenditures as a Percent of GDP, Select Nations Percent of GDP, 2004 South Korea Japan Mexico Canada France United States Germany United Kingdom Sweden Source: World Bank

19 Interest Rate and Investment
The Volatility of Investment Gross Investment Percentage Change GDP Year

20 The Multiplier Effect -or- Multiplier = Multiplier = Multiplier =
W 8.2 Change in Real GDP Initial Change in Spending Multiplier = The Multiplier and the Marginal Propensities 1 1 - MPC Multiplier = -or- 1 MPS Multiplier = Graphically…

21 The Multiplier Effect Tabular and Graphical Views $ 20.00 $ 15.00
(2) Change in Consumption (MPC = .75) (3) Change in Saving (MPC = .25) (1) Change in Income Increase in Investment of $5 Second Round Third Round Fourth Round Fifth Round All other rounds Total $ 5.00 3.75 2.81 2.11 1.58 4.75 $ 20.00 $ 3.75 2.81 2.11 1.58 1.19 3.56 $ 15.00 $ 1.25 .94 .70 .53 .39 1.19 $ 5.00 $20.00 $4.75 15.25 $1.58 13.67 $2.11 11.56 $2.81 8.75 ΔI= $5 billion $3.75 5.00 $5.00 1 2 3 4 5 All Rounds of Spending

22 The Multiplier Effect The MPC and the Multiplier MPC Multiplier .9 10
.8 5 .75 4 .67 3 .5 2

23 Squaring the Economic Circle
Last Word Humorist Art Buchwald and the Multiplier One Person Can’t Buy a Product Others Subsequently Impacted and Cannot Buy Other Items Multiple Effects Impact Psyche Ultimately Causes Multiple Step Impact Upon the Economy as a Whole

24 Key Terms 45° (degree) line consumption schedule saving schedule
break-even income average propensity to consume (APC) average propensity to save (APS) marginal propensity to consume (MPC) marginal propensity to save (MPS) wealth effect expected rate of return investment demand curve multiplier

25 Next Chapter Preview… The Aggregate Expenditures Model Chapter 9!


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