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Probability in Baseball
By. Tyler Swartz
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What is Probability Items Needed
The measurement that the likelihood of an event will occur. Usually expressed as a value between 0 and 1. Items Needed 2 Players (1 player per team) 2 Standard Dice 8 Playing Pieces (4 per team) Game board set up like a baseball field. Paper to keep score.
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Objective of Project Objective of Game
Take a simple game and find the probability that a certain number is rolled. Compare the results to those happening in real life. Objective of Game Players roll the dice to see who goes first. (Winner chooses who is home and away) Both players roll one dice each and the sum of the two numbers equal a result. The game continues until all 9 innings are completed. Player with the most runs wins.
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Probability of Dice How many Probabilities are there? # Rolled
2 1/36=2.778% 3 2/36=5.556% 4 3/36=8.333% 5 4/36=11.111% 6 5/36=13.889% 7 6/36=16.667% 8 9 10 11 12 Probability of Dice How many Probabilities are there? 36 probabilities: 6 probabilities per dice. Player’s Roll 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
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Outcome of # Rolled Made Up # Rolled Outcome 2 Triple 3 Foul Ball 4
5 Double 6 Strike 7 Single 8 Fly Out 9 Ground Out 10 Home Run 11 Line Out 12 Hit By Pitch Made Up
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Probability in Actual Game
Baseball probabilities are different from a board game probability. Probabilities in baseball depend on matchups. However there is an average probability for each outcome. A ball player will have a ⅓ chance or 33.3% chance of getting a hit. ⅔ times or 66.7% of the time the pitcher will win the battle. Probability is in favor of the pitcher but a batter that gets 1 hit in every 3 at-bats is considered a Hall of Famer at end of career.
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