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The Binomial Probability Distribution and Related Topics

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1 The Binomial Probability Distribution and Related Topics
Chapter 6 The Binomial Probability Distribution and Related Topics Understanding Basic Statistics Fifth Edition By Brase and Brase Prepared by Jon Booze

2 Statistical Experiments and Random Variables
Statistical Experiments – any process by which measurements are obtained. A quantitative variable, x, is a random variable if its value is determined by the outcome of a random experiment. Random variables can be discrete or continuous.

3 Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions
Discrete random variables – can take on only a countable or finite number of values. Continuous random variables – can take on countless values in an interval on the real line Probability distributions of random variables – An assignment of probabilities to the specific values or a range of values for a random variable.

4 Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions
Which measurement involves a discrete random variable? a). Determine the mass of a randomly-selected penny b). Assess customer satisfaction rated from 1 (completely satisfied) to 5 (completely dissatisfied). c). Find the rate of occurrence of a genetic disorder in a given sample of persons. d). Measure the percentage of light bulbs with lifetimes less than 400 hours.

5 Random Variables and Their Probability Distributions
Which measurement involves a discrete random variable? a). Determine the mass of a randomly-selected penny b). Assess customer satisfaction rated from 1 (completely satisfied) to 5 (completely dissatisfied). c). Find the rate of occurrence of a genetic disorder in a given sample of persons. d). Measure the percentage of light bulbs with lifetimes less than 400 hours.

6 Discrete Probability Distributions
Each value of the random variable has an assigned probability. The sum of all the assigned probabilities must equal 1.

7 Probability Distribution Features
Since a probability distribution can be thought of as a relative-frequency distribution for a very large n, we can find the mean and the standard deviation. When viewing the distribution in terms of the population, use µ for the mean and σ for the standard deviation.

8 Means and Standard Deviations for Discrete Probability Distributions

9 Binomial Experiments S = success F = failure
There are a fixed number of trials. This is denoted by n. The n trials are independent and repeated under identical conditions. Each trial has two outcomes: S = success F = failure

10 Binomial Experiments Which of the following does not involve binomial trials? a). A recyclable item is placed into a bin meant for paper, plastic, or glass. b). A randomly-selected student passes a statistics course. c). A electronic power supply is rejected if it delivers less than 300 milliamps of current. d). A given concept is classified as “traditional” or “modern”.

11 Binomial Experiments Which of the following does not involve binomial trials? a). A recyclable item is placed into a bin meant for paper, plastic, or glass. b). A randomly-selected student passes a statistics course. c). A electronic power supply is rejected if it delivers less than 300 milliamps of current. d). A given concept is classified as “traditional” or “modern”.

12 Binomial Experiments For each trial, the probability of success, p, remains the same. Thus, the probability of failure is 1 – p = q. The central problem is to determine the probability of r successes out of n trials.

13 Determining Binomial Probabilities
Use the Binomial Probability Formula. Use Table 2 of the appendix. Use technology.

14 Binomial Probability Formula

15 Binomial Probability Formula
Find the probability of observing 6 successes in 10 trials if the probability of success is p = 0.4. a) b) c) d)

16 Binomial Probability Formula
Find the probability of observing 6 successes in 10 trials if the probability of success is p = 0.4. a) b) c) d)

17 Using the Binomial Table
Locate the number of trials, n. Locate the number of successes, r. Follow that row to the right to the corresponding p column.

18 Use Table 2 in the Appendix to find the probability of observing 3 successes in 5 trials if p = 0.7.
a) b) c) d)

19 Use Table 2 in the appendix to find the probability of observing 3 successes in 5 trials if p = 0.7.
a) b) c) d)

20 Binomial Probabilities
At times, we will need to calculate other probabilities: P(r < k) P(r ≤ k) P(r > k) P(r ≥ k) where k is a specified value less than or equal to the number of trials, n.

21 Graphing a Binomial Distribution

22 Mean and Standard Deviation of a Binomial Distribution

23 Mean and Standard Deviation of a Binomial Distribution
Calculate the standard deviation of a binomial population with n = 100 and p = 0.3. a). 21 b).9 c) d). 4.41

24 Mean and Standard Deviation of a Binomial Distribution
Calculate the standard deviation of a binomial population with n = 100 and p = 0.3. a). 21 b).9 c) d). 4.41

25 Critical Thinking Unusual values – For a binomial distribution, it is unusual for the number of successes r to be more than 2.5 standard deviations from the mean. – This can be used as an indicator to determine whether a specified number of r out of n trials in a binomial experiment is unusual.

26 Critical Thinking Unusual values – For a binomial distribution, it is unusual for the number of successes r to be more than 2.5 standard deviations from the mean. A particular binomial experiment has a mean of 14 and a standard deviation of 2. Which of the following is not an unusual number of successes? a) b).17 c) d). None of these are unusual.

27 Critical Thinking Unusual values – For a binomial distribution, it is unusual for the number of successes r to be more than 2.5 standard deviations from the mean. A particular binomial experiment has a mean of 14 and a standard deviation of 2. Which of the following is not an unusual number of successes? a) b).17 c) d). None of these are unusual.


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