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Published byFelix Frank Modified over 5 years ago
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Commute to Work Two-Way Frequency Table Female Male Total
Female Male Total Drive to work 20 40 Walk to Work 50 .6 .5 .4 .7 P(Drive)= P(Male)= P(Drive and Male)= P(Drive or Male)=
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Two-Way Frequency Table P(female or Alabama)
Female Male Total Alabama 15 5 20 Georgia 55 25 80 70 30 100 P(F) P(A) P(F and A) P(F or A) 70% 20% 15% 75%
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3-3 Conditional Probability
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π(π΄|π΅) Conditional Probability
Means: Probability that event A occurs knowing B has already happened Read as βProbability of A given Bβ
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π(π
ππ|πΏππππ) Conditional Probability if you know its large?
50 marbles are in a bag. What is the probability of choosing a red marble if you know its large? Red given large π(π
ππ|πΏππππ) Red Blue Total Large 12 13 25 Small 8 17 20 30 50
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π(π ππππ|πππ’π) Conditional Probability 50 marbles are in a bag.
What is the probability of choosing a small marble given itβs blue? Red Blue Total Large 12 13 25 Small 8 17 20 30 50 π(π ππππ|πππ’π)
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Conditional Probability
Data on passenger survival on the Titanic. Did being in 1st class increase chances of survival? Strategy: Compare all survivors to survivors in 1st class only. Same % ? Then Independent βNo Effect on survivalβ Different % ? Then Dependent βyes, had an effect on survivalβ Survived Did Not Survive Total 1st Class 203 122 325 2nd Class 118 167 285 3rd Class 178 528 706 499 817 1316 The casualty figures listed above are from Lord Mersey's Report (British Parliamentary Papers,Β Shipping Casualties (Loss of the Steamship "Titanic"), 1912 Crew 212 survived out of 908
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Conditional Probability
Data on passenger survival on the Titanic. Did being in 1st class increase chances of survival? π(π π’ππ£ππ£π) Survived Did Not Survive Total 1st Class 203 122 325 2nd Class 118 167 285 3rd Class 178 528 706 499 817 1316 π(π π’ππ£ππ£π|1π π‘ ππππ π ) Yes, Survival rates depended on which class the passenger was in. 62.5% 37.9% The casualty figures listed above are from Lord Mersey's Report (British Parliamentary Papers,Β Shipping Casualties (Loss of the Steamship "Titanic"), 1912 Crew 212 survived out of 908.
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