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Inference as Decision Section 10.4
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Type I error If we reject Ho (accept Ha) when in fact Ho is true
Type II error If we accept Ho (reject Ha) when in fact Ha is true
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Truth about the population
Decision based on sample H0 True Ha True Type I error Correct Decision Type II error Reject H0 Accept H0
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Significance and Type I error
The significance level of any fixed level test is the probability of a Type I error That is , is the probability that the test will reject the null hypothesis Ho when Ho is in fact true
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Power The probability that a fixed level significance test will reject Ho when a particular alternative value of the parameter is true is called the power of the test against that alternative
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The power of a test against any alternative is 1 minus the probability of a Type II error for that alternative Calculations of power are essentially the same as calculations of the probability of Type II error
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P-values describe what would happen supposing that the null hypothesis is true
Power describes what would happen supposing a particular alternative is true
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Calculating Power State Ho, Ha, the particular alternative we want to detect, and the significance level Find the values of x bar that will lead us to reject Ho Calculate the probability of observing these values of x bar when the alternative is true
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Four Ways to Increase Power
Consider a particular alternative that if farther away from o Increase the sample size Decrease
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Practice Problems Section 10.4 Chapter Review pg. 605 #10.74-10.77
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