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Risk prediction models for delirium in the intensive care unit after cardiac surgery: a systematic review and independent external validation  A Lee,

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Presentation on theme: "Risk prediction models for delirium in the intensive care unit after cardiac surgery: a systematic review and independent external validation  A Lee,"— Presentation transcript:

1 Risk prediction models for delirium in the intensive care unit after cardiac surgery: a systematic review and independent external validation  A Lee, J.L. Mu, G.M. Joynt, C.H. Chiu, V.K.W. Lai, T Gin, M.J. Underwood  British Journal of Anaesthesia  Volume 118, Issue 3, Pages (March 2017) DOI: /bja/aew476 Copyright © 2017 The Author(s) Terms and Conditions

2 Fig 1 Systematic review flowchart for identifying validated risk prediction models for delirium in the intensive care unit after cardiac surgery. British Journal of Anaesthesia  , DOI: ( /bja/aew476) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s) Terms and Conditions

3 Fig 2 Independent external validation study flow chart.
British Journal of Anaesthesia  , DOI: ( /bja/aew476) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s) Terms and Conditions

4 Fig 3 Comparison of Katznelson20 and recalibrated PRE-DELIRIC22 risk prediction models for area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve with cut-offs at 10% (very low), 20% (low), 40% (moderate), and 60% (high). British Journal of Anaesthesia  , DOI: ( /bja/aew476) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s) Terms and Conditions

5 Fig 4 Comparison of decision curves for prediction of intensive care unit delirium after cardiac surgery. The threshold probability is the level above which a patient (or physician) would choose prophylactic treatment for delirium. Green dotted line assumes no patients have delirium (treat none). Black short-dashed line assumes all patients have delirium (treated all). Orange long-dashed line represents the expected benefit associated with the Katznelson model.20 Blue continuous line represents the expected benefit associated with the recalibrated PRE-DELIRIC model.22 British Journal of Anaesthesia  , DOI: ( /bja/aew476) Copyright © 2017 The Author(s) Terms and Conditions


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