1. Making Decisions with Probability
Investigation 3 – What Do You Expect?

2. 3.1 Bell Ringer

3. 3.1 – Designing a Spinner
What time do you think is most likely to occur?
Is Kalvin’s Father likely to agree to use this spinner? Why or why not?

4. 3.1 – Designing a Spinner
3. What is the theoretical probability that the pointer lands on 9:00, 10:00, and on 11:00?
4. Suppose Kalvin spins the pointer 64 times. Based on your theoretical probabilities, how many times can you expect the pointer to land on 9:00, 10:00, and on 11:00?
5. Describe one way Kalvin’s father can design a spinner so that Kalvin is most likely to go to bed at 9:00.

5. 3.2 Bell Ringer

6. 3.2 – Analyzing Fairness
Directions: there are suggestions for making a decision. Decide whether each suggestion is a fair way to make the decision. If not, explain why.

7. 3.2 – Analyzing Fairness
Directions: there are suggestions for making a decision. Decide whether each suggestion is a fair way to make the decision. If not, explain why.

8. 3.2 – Analyzing Fairness
Directions: there are suggestions for making a decision. Decide whether each suggestion is a fair way to make the decision. If not, explain why.

9. 3.3 Bell Ringer
Give an example of a game that you know you can win (I.E. You have figured out a strategy for winning).

10. 3.3 – Analyzing a Game

11. 3.3 – Analyzing a Game

12. 3.3 – Analyzing a Game

13. 3.4 Bell Ringer
What does simulation mean?

14. 3.4 – Designing and Using a Simulation

15. 3.4 – Designing and Using a Simulation

16. 3.4 – Designing and Using a Simulation