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Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects
Chapter 15 Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects
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Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects (SW Chapter 15)
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The Orange Juice Data (SW Section 15.1)
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Initial OJ regression
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Dynamic Causal Effects (SW Section 15.2)
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Dynamic causal effects, ctd.
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Dynamic causal effects, ctd.
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Dynamic causal effects and the distributed lag model
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Exogeneity in time series regression
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Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects with Exogenous Regressors (SW Section 15.3)
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The distributed lag model, ctd.
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The distributed lag model, ctd.
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Under the Distributed Lag Model Assumptions:
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Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation-Consistent (HAC) Standard Errors (SW Section 15.4)
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HAC standard errors, ctd.
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HAC standard errors, ctd.
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HAC standard errors, ctd.
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Expression for var(), general T
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HAC Standard Errors
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HAC SEs, ctd.
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Example: OJ and HAC estimators in STATA
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Example: OJ and HAC estimators in STATA, ctd
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Example: OJ and HAC estimators in STATA, ctd.
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FAQ: Do I need to use HAC SEs when I estimate an AR or an ADL model?
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Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects with Strictly Exogenous Regressors (SW Section 15.5)
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Analysis of the OJ Price Data (SW Section 15.6)
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Digression: Computation of cumulative multipliers and their standard errors
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Computing cumulative multipliers, ctd.
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Computing cumulative multipliers, ctd.
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Computing cumulative multipliers, ctd.
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Are the OJ dynamic effects stable?
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OJ: Do the breaks matter substantively?
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When Can You Estimate Dynamic Causal Effects
When Can You Estimate Dynamic Causal Effects? That is, When is Exogeneity Plausible? (SW Section 15.7)
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Is exogeneity (or strict exogeneity) plausible? Examples:
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Exogeneity, ctd.
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Estimation of Dynamic Causal Effects: Summary (SW Section 15.8)
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