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Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Spring 2019 Room 150 Harvill Building 9:00 - 9:50 Mondays, Wednesdays & Fridays. February 4
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Even if you have not yet registered your clicker you can still participate
The Green Sheets
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Schedule of readings Before next exam (February 8)
Please read chapters in OpenStax textbook Please read Appendix D, E & F online On syllabus this is referred to as online readings 1, 2 & 3 Please read Chapters 1, 5, 6 and 13 in Plous Chapter 1: Selective Perception Chapter 5: Plasticity Chapter 6: Effects of Question Wording and Framing Chapter 13: Anchoring and Adjustment
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Labs continue this week
Lab sessions Everyone will want to be enrolled in one of the lab sessions Labs continue this week
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Overview Frequency distributions
The normal curve Mean, Median, Mode, Trimmed Mean Standard deviation, Variance, Range Mean Absolute Deviation Skewed right, skewed left unimodal, bimodal, symmetric Review
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How far away is each score from the mean?
Diallo is 0” Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 David is 0” Preston is 2” Deviation scores (x - µ) Deviation scores: The amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean (x - µ) How far away is each score from the mean? Mean Diallo Deviation score Mike Preston Shea (x - µ) = ? Hunter Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” Diallo How do we find each deviation score? (x - µ) Preston Hunter Diallo Mike Preston Find distance of each person from the mean (subtract their score from mean) Review
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How far away is each score from the mean?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Deviation scores (x - µ) Diallo is 0” Preston is 2” How far away is each score from the mean? Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 Mean David is 0” Add up Deviation scores Diallo Preston Σ (x - µ) = ? Shea Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” How do we find the average height? N Σx = average height How do we find the average spread? Σ(x - x) = 0 Σ(x - µ) N Won’t Work = average deviation Σ(x - µ) = 0 Review
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How far away is each score from the mean?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Deviation scores (x - µ) Diallo is 0” Preston is 2” How far away is each score from the mean? Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 Mean David is 0” Diallo Preston Σ (x - µ) = ? Shea Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” Square the deviations Big problem Σ(x - x) 2 2 Σ(x - x) = 0 Σ(x - µ) N Σ(x - µ) 2 Σ(x - µ) = 0 Review
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How far away is each score from the mean?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Deviation scores (x - µ) Diallo is 0” Preston is 2” How far away is each score from the mean? Mike is -4” Hunter is -2 Shea is 4 Mean Step 1 Find the mean David is 0” Diallo Step 2 Find each deviation score Preston Σ (x - µ) = ? Shea Mike 5’8” ’0” = - 4” 5’9” ’0” = - 3” 5’10’ - 6’0” = - 2” 5’11” - 6’0” = - 1” 6’0” ’0 = 0 6’1” ’0” = + 1” 6’2” ’0” = + 2” 6’3” ’0” = + 3” 6’4” ’0” = + 4” Step 3 Square each deviation score And add them up Step 4 Divide by n and take square root Σ(x - x) 2 2 Σ(x - x) = 0 Σ(x - µ) N Σ(x - µ) 2 Σ(x - µ) = 0 Review
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You know by heart – you’ve memorized
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean “Sum of Squares” You know by heart – you’ve memorized these formula Review
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You know by heart – you’ve memorized
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean “degrees of freedom” You know by heart – you’ve memorized these formula Review
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Standard deviation squared = variance
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean Both are called “standard deviation” Both are called “variance” What do these two formula have in common? Standard deviation squared = variance Fun Fact:
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Standard deviation: The average amount by which
observations deviate on either side of their mean Both are for sample Both are for population What do these two formula have in common?
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How do these formula differ?
Standard deviation: The average amount by which observations deviate on either side of their mean “n-1” is Degrees of Freedom” How do these formula differ? Review
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Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
Please note spatially where 1 standard deviation falls on the curve Review
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Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
Please note spatially where 1 standard deviation falls on the curve 68% 95% 99.7% Review
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Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
1 sd above and below mean 68% z = +1 z = -1 Mean = 50 σ = 10 If we go up one standard deviation z score = +1.0 and raw score = 60 If we go down one standard deviation z score = -1.0 and raw score = 40
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Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
2 sd above and below mean 95% z = -2 z = +2 Mean = 50 σ = 10 If we go up two standard deviations z score = +2.0 and raw score = 70 If we go down two standard deviations z score = -2.0 and raw score = 30
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Raw scores, z scores & probabilities
3 sd above and below mean 99.7% z = +3 z = -3 Mean = 50 σ = 10 If we go up three standard deviations z score = +3.0 and raw score = 80 If we go down three standard deviations z score = -3.0 and raw score = 20
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z score = raw score - mean standard deviation
If we go up one standard deviation z score = +1.0 and raw score = 105 z = -1 z = +1 68% If we go down one standard deviation z score = -1.0 and raw score = 95 If we go up two standard deviations z score = +2.0 and raw score = 110 z = -2 95% z = +2 If we go down two standard deviations z score = -2.0 and raw score = 90 If we go up three standard deviations z score = +3.0 and raw score = 115 99.7% z = -3 z = +3 If we go down three standard deviations z score = -3.0 and raw score = 85 z score: A score that indicates how many standard deviations an observation is above or below the mean of the distribution z score = raw score - mean standard deviation
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Summary of 7 facts to memorize
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Writing Assignment – Pop Quiz Distance from the mean X Taller 2 inches
Preston is 2” taller than the mean (taller than most) Taller 2 inches Shorter X Mike is 4” shorter than the mean (shorter than most) Shorter 4 inches Taller X Equal to mean Diallo is exactly same height as mean (half taller half shorter) 0 inches Half are Shorter
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Writing Assignment – Pop Quiz Sigma – standard deviation - population
Parameter mu – a mean – an average - population Parameter x-bar – a mean – an average - sample statistic s – standard deviation - sample statistic The number of “standard deviations” the score is from the mean population Sigma squared and s squared - variance Sigma is parameter (population) s is statistic (sample) Deviation scores (x-µ) for population (parameter) (x-x) is statistic (sample) Sum of squares On left is statistic on right is parameter Standard deviation s is statistic sigma is parameter Degrees of freedom sample
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Homework Assignment # 7 Due: Wednesday, February 6
Worksheet with Memorandum Due: Wednesday, February 6
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Step 2 Find each deviation score
Step 1 Find the mean Step 2 Find each deviation score Step 3 Square each deviation score and add them up Step 4 Divide by n and take square root
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Preview of Homework Worksheet
Each of these are deviation scores 3 – 5 = -2 -22= 4 6 – 5 = +1 -2 1 3 -1 4 1 9 12= 1 3 -3 -1 1 9 1 Σ(x - µ) = 0 50 36 36 = 2 2 10 - 1 This is the standard deviation! 5 4 4.5 2 8 6
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Preview of Homework Worksheet
-12= 1 5 – 6 = -1 -1 2 3 1 4 9 22= 4 8 – 6 = +2 -1 3 1 -5 1 9 25 60 52 52 2.4 = 2.4 10 - 1 6 5.5 5 1 9 8
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Homework Assignment # 7 Due: Wednesday, February 6
Worksheet with Memorandum Due: Wednesday, February 6
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Thank you! See you next time!!
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