1. Dynamics and Risks of KenGen Portfolio Revenue Budgeting
JOH-KGN JvW-X1
Dynamics and Risks of KenGen Portfolio Revenue Budgeting
Freda Nyambura
Engineer II – Technical Affairs
2018 G2G INNOVATION SEMINAR, PRIDEINN PARADISE
18TH JUNE - 22ND JUNE 2018

2. FREDA NYAMBURA Engineer II – Technical Affairs Qualifications:
JOH-KGN JvW-X1
FREDA NYAMBURA
Engineer II – Technical Affairs
Qualifications:
Currently pursuing a Masters in Public Policy Analysis
BSc. Energy Engineering
Responsibilities:
Her main focus is development, implementation and monitoring for the PPAs across the company.
Key milestones/achievements include:
Conducted the PPA tests for the 280 MW project
Part of the project team for the billing efficiency initiative between KenGen and KPLC
A member of the Association of Energy Engineers.

3. Introduction

4. Vehicle
Power Plant
Capacity Cc MW
Charge
Mileage payment
Energy payment
Availability
Percentage of the time that I can comfortably have my car ready to be driven after taking out maintenance time.
Percentage of the time that the plant can comfortably be ready to generate after taking out maintenance time.
Load factor
The ratio of the actual mileage to the possible mileage in a given time period.
The ratio of the actual energy generated to the possible actual generation in a certain time period

5. The focus of this presentation is the load factor
The focus of this presentation is the load factor. The load factor is one of the negotiated items during the PPAs negotiations.
The load factor affects the energy revenue.

6. Kipevu III
PPA load factor
Budget load factor
Actual load factor
30.00
66.54
52.04
32.30
29.68
13.30
17.96
20.00
50.84

7. The value of the gain in load factor in the FY 2016-17 was Kshs
The value of the gain in load factor in the FY was Kshs. 173 Million.

8. Olkaria IV
PPA load factor
Budget Load factor
Actual load factor
85.00
88.41
86.77
85.26
79.33
90.00
69.50

9. The value of the lost load factor for the FY 2016-17 is Kshs. 189
The value of the lost load factor for the FY is Kshs Million

10. Sagana
PPA load factor
Budget Load factor
Actual load factor
70.00
83.47
68.88
62.22
57.45
59.49
57.85
59.37
31.82

11. The value of the lost load factor for thr FY is Kshs. 39.04 Million

12. Gitaru
PPA load factor
Budget Load factor
Actual load factor
54.00
44.70
43.86
54.73
37.52
39.36
45.56
38.31
40.97

13. The value of the lost load factor in the FY 2016-17 is Kshs. 7
The value of the lost load factor in the FY is Kshs Million.

14. Major Hydro
PPA load factor
Budget Load factor
Actual load factor
54.00
50.14
56.32
46.62
46.59
47.17
53.28
45.33
47.81

15. The value of the load load factor in the FY 2016-17 is Kshs. 12
The value of the load load factor in the FY is Kshs Million

16. Way forward and Conclusion
The annual budgeting load factor is a moving number while the PPA load factor is a locked number for the lifetime of the plant. Moving forward, my suggestion is that we have the PPA load factor as the in-house KPI load factor and the annual load factor as the load factor for that will factor in any maintenance we may have in the given year.