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Future of Computers Moore’s Law.

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Presentation on theme: "Future of Computers Moore’s Law."— Presentation transcript:

1 Future of Computers Moore’s Law

2 ANTIKYTHERA MECHANISM

3 Charles Babbage

4 Difference Engine by Charles Babbage (1822)

5 Eniac

6 ’s Transistors

7 Gordon Moore, Co Founder Intel “Moore’s Law”

8 Moore’s Law Gordon Moore, Co Founder of Intel Corporation, noted in the 1960’s that computer processing power doubles every 18 months. This trend has continued for the last 40 Years!!! Scientists believe that it will continue at that rate for several more decades to come AT LEAST 20Yrs, BUT MORE LIKELY FOR 30Yrs into the future!!!

9 Intel 4004 first widespread available microprocessor (2,300) switches 1970’s

10 The Power of Doubling has EXPONENTIAL Growth
So, What does exponential mean? It means that the further in time you go the faster and the faster it accelerates. So, What!!!! You say I’m Bored Mr. G Well, Let me explain. Watch This!!!!

11 So What, Mr. G

12 Would Take Up an Entire Room SUCH AS A GYMNASIUM!!!
50’s Computer Would Take Up an Entire Room SUCH AS A GYMNASIUM!!!

13 Year #0 1960 1

14 1 Year 6 Months 1960’s 2

15 3 Years 1960’s 4

16 4 Years 6 Months 1960’s 8

17 6 Years 1960’s 16

18 7 Years 6 Months 1960’s 32

19 9 Years 1960’s 64

20 10 Years 6 Months 1970 on the MOON
128

21 12 Years 1970’s 256

22 13 Years 6 Months 1970’s 512

23 15 Years 1970’s 1,024

24 16 Years 6 Months 1970’s 2,048

25 18 Years 1970’s 4,096

26 19 Years 6 Months 1980 8,192

27 21 Years 1980’s 16,192

28 22 Years 6 Months 1980’s 32,768

29 24 Years 1980’s 65,536

30 25 Years 6 Months 1980’s 131,072

31 27 Years 1980’s 262,144

32 28 Years 6 Months 1980’s 524,288

33 30 Years 1990 1,048,576

34 31 Years 6 Months 1990’s 2,097,152

35 33 Years 1990’s 4,194,304

36 34 Years 6 Months 1990’s 8,388,608

37 36 Years 1990’s 16,777,216

38 37 Years 6 Months 1990’s 33,554,432

39 39 Years 1990’s 67,108,864

40 40 Years 6 Months 2000 134,217,728

41 42 Years 2000’s 268,436,456

42 43 Years 6 Months 2000’s 536,870,912

43 45 Years 2000’s 1,073,741,824

44 46 Years 6 Months 2000’s 2,147,483,648

45 48 Years Today!!! 4,294,967,296

46 This Is Were We Are Today
A Fast and Expensive Computer $5,000 To $10,000 computer of today might have up to 20 Gigahertz(GHz) My Laptop is a 5.2GHz The Computers in Front of You are 5.2GHz

47 The Computers in This Room Have the Brain Power of a Frog!

48 Yeh, OK computers have gotten faster. What’s that got to due with Me?

49 1 Year 6 Months 8,589,934,592

50 3 Years 17,179,869,184

51 4 Year 6 Months 34,359,738,368

52 6 Years 68,719,476,736

53 7 Years 6 Months 137,438,953,472

54 9 Years 274,877,906,944

55 10 Years 6 Months 549,755,813,888

56 12 Years 1,099,511,627,776

57 13 Years 6 Months 2,199,023,255,552

58 15 Years 4,398,046,511,104

59 16 Years 6 Months 8,796,093,022,208

60 18 Years 17,592,186,044,416

61 19 Years 6 Months 35,184,372,088,832

62 19 Years 6 Months 35,184,372,088,832

63 21 Years 70,368,744,177,664

64 22 Years 6 Months 140,737,488,355,328

65 24 Years 281,474,976,710,656

66 25 Years 6 Months 562,949,953,421,312

67 27 Years 1,125,899,906,842,624

68 28 Years 6 Months 2,251,799,813,685,248

69 30 Years 4,503,599,627,370,496

70 Today = 5GHz and has the Brain Power of a Frog.
In 30 Years = 4,503,599GHz. Which means it would take 2 million of the computers in front of you to equal one PC 30 years from now. It should be 30 years before the doubling slows. That’s two stacks from here to the Moon and then you would have to start a third stack. How smart might that computer that powerful be?

71 That’s Way More Brain Power Than a Human Has!!!
Actually that’s more brain power than all humans on this planet added together!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Would we consider it to be alive or just a machine? Might it have feelings, and how might it feel about us?

72 So What Mr. Gravitt So what!!! It means that today's Multi Billion Dollar Supercomputer will someday be in a watch that your kids could buy at the dollar store. You need to realize we have the robots today, but they do not have the brains to be really useful.

73 Dropping Costs This Computer Chip only cost around $0.60 to manufacture The costs of new chips comes from the research and development of newer and faster chips You can purchase new older model chips cheaply

74 Oh Really, So What So, for instance one day Robotics might very well resemble something from a Sci-Fi Movie.

75 Are you going to be ready to compete for a job against me?


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