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Long-term sustainability of public finances in Slovakia Ľudovít Ódor

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Presentation on theme: "Long-term sustainability of public finances in Slovakia Ľudovít Ódor"— Presentation transcript:

1 Long-term sustainability of public finances in Slovakia Ľudovít Ódor

2 Main lessons Move beyond ageing – complex fiscal risk assessment
Move beyond simple indicators - look at public sector balance sheets Discuss policy implications

3 Extending our understanding of long-term sustainability

4 Four dimensions of sustainability
Solvency Growth Sustainability Stability Fairness 2005, Schick A.

5 Public sector balance sheet (intertemporal net worth)

6 Fiscal space review

7 Current focus of the CBR

8 Population ageing Population in year 2017 Population in year 2067

9 Transition to a totally different country

10 Sustainability „GAP“ indicator (vintages 2011 to 2016)

11 Net worth of the public sector

12 Feedback effects on economic growth

13 Generational accounts (age profiles)

14 Other issues Public-private partnerships (PPPs)
Costs of nuclear decommissioning Costs of delay Scenario and sensitivity analysis Definition of NPC scenarios

15 Policy implications

16 Major challenges Immigration policy
Structural reforms (labour and product markets, pensions, healthcare) Measurement and management of fiscal risks More focus on distributional consequences and growth implications Link between deficits and changes in net worth New topics: monetary-fiscal interactions, natural resources, global warming, cyber-security etc.

17 Thank you for Your attention!


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