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2.) A. Incorrect, the prob. Is either 0 or 1, but we don’t know which.

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Presentation on theme: "2.) A. Incorrect, the prob. Is either 0 or 1, but we don’t know which."— Presentation transcript:

1 2.) A. Incorrect, the prob. Is either 0 or 1, but we don’t know which.
Incorrect; x-bar is always in the center of the confidence interval **Incorrect; the different samples will yield different sample means, and the distribution of those sample means is used to provide an interval that captures the population mean Incorrect; there is nothing magical about the interval from this one sample. Our method for computing confidence intervals is based on capturing the mean of the population, not a particular interval from one sample. Correct 3.)No, This is a statement about the mean score for all young men, not about individual scores.

2 4.) A. Normal with a mean of μ and standard deviation of 0.0566.
B. m=0.1132 About 95% of them Your answers will vary µ µ µ µ µ µ

3 5.) A. 48% to 54% 51% is only from one sample; not every sample will give us the same results. 95% confidence means that this interval was found using a procedure that produces correct results 95% of the time. Undercoverage or nonresponse

4 Confidence Intervals when σ is known
Section 10.1

5 You need 3 conditions: 1.) SRS
2.) Normality (original distribution is Normal or by the CLT, n>30) 3.) Independence: Observations are independent OR population is 10 times the sample

6 Confidence Interval when σ is known:
Margin of error

7 -z* z* Area= Area=C Confidence Level (C) Critical values (z*) 90% 95% 99%

8 Inference Toolbox 1.) Identify the population and the parameter you want to draw a conclusion about (WRITE A SENTENCE!) 2.) State conditions. (SRS, Normality, Independence) 3.) Do the calculations, including the formula you are using. 4.) Interpretation IN CONTEXT of the problem. (WRITE A SENTENCE!) We are ____% confident that…

9 Pg. 632 #9 in Class

10 Margin of Error Gets smaller when:
z* is smaller (but confidence level goes down) σ is smaller (but you can’t control) n is larger

11 Margin of Error… Only covers random sampling error; it DOES NOT cover incorrect/bad data collection Sample size for Desired Margin of Error:

12 In class: pg. 637 #14

13 Cautions: pg. 636 “GIGO”=garbage in, garbage out

14 Pg. 632 #10,11 Pg. 637 #15 Homework


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