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Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/17/2017

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Presentation on theme: "Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/17/2017"— Presentation transcript:

1 Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/17/2017
Drought Conditions Adnan Akyuz, Ph.D. NDSU, AES State Climatologist Updated 8/17/2017

2 Prelude to Drought 2017 for ND
Period Precipitation Ranking Fall 2016 14th Wettest Winter 6th Wettest September through February 9th Wettest 6-mo Period March 2017 48th Driest April 2017 34th Driest May 2017 15th Driest Spring 2017 9th Driest Spring June 14th Driest July 11th Driest March-July 3rd Driest 5-mo Period

3 Precipitation Accumulation Since March 1 in Select Locations in ND (Ranking)
Precipitation Totals Since March 1st Weekly Change Fargo 17th Driest (Record History: 137 years) +2 Grand Forks 30th Driest (Record History: 125 years) Bismarck 60th Driest (Record History: 143 years) +47 Williston 25th Driest (Record History: 124 years) +12 Minot 8th Driest (Record History: 113 years) +1 Bowman 6th Driest (Record History: 103 years)

4 7-Day Rainfall total

5 30-Day Rainfall Total Accumulation % of Normal

6 Long Term Precipitation % of Normal
60 Days 90 Days

7 (% Change from previous week)
Cumulative % area (% Change from previous week) D1 82% (0) D2 63% (+1) DO 100% (+3) <1% (-3) D4 5% (-3) D3 44% (+1)

8 Drought Change 1 Week 8 Weeks

9 State Coverage and Intensity (Time Scale)
*Drought Severity and Coverage Index = DOx1+D1x2+D2x3+D3x4+D4x5 *Akyuz (2007)

10 State Coverage and Intensity

11 7-day Forecast Thu 7am, Aug 17 through Thu 7am, Aug 24

12 Medium Range Forecast 8-14 Day Precipitation 8-14 Day Temperature

13 3-Mounth Outlook (September through November)
Precipitation Temperature

14 Drought Outlook


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