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Published byMikko Kouki Modified over 5 years ago
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Press and policy review on economy, trade and investment
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Economic developments
Economy Economic developments GDP growth : 3.8% vs. 4.1% Service sector key contributor Rupee : 16% drop - So far in 2019: 1.6% increase Sectors - Manufacturing & Services activities expanding - Tea industry witnesses slowdown - Interventions in paddy market WB Outlook Deteriorating economic per-formance will continue till 2021 SL’s debt situation SL’s debt - 78% of its GDP - 60% of its GDP foreign debt - $ 5.9 bn due this year, $ 2.6 bn in the first quarter - Loan repayments between around $ 21 bn SL’s lenders - China: 14% - Japan: 12% - ADB: 14% - WB: 11% SL’s current strategy New loans, new policies, long-term: boost exports and FDIs Labour market Economically active population million % male, 35.3% female - Inactive population: 7.8 million Key challenges - Informal labour market: 60% - Aging population - Labour shortage - Accessibility for women in the workforce
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Current investor sentiment
Investment Current investor sentiment Finance Minister Mangala Samaraweera (February 21) “Damage repaired, investor confidence rebuilt” Nielsen “Stability seems to be returning, impact on business sentiment” “Volatile political situation keeps investors cautious” “Dented investor sentiment” Investor sentiment seems not fully recovered (yet) Initiatives Three policy priorities - Access to global capital markets - Economic growth - Continue reform program Measures to improve ease of doing business Northern Province - Measures to attract investment to the region, development framework Reduction of SRR by 1% Measure taken on 22 Feb with effect from 01 March FDI FDIs in 2018 Highest ever FDIs worth $ 2.3 billion Expectations for 2019 Target value: $ 3 billion Initiatives Over $ 10 bn FDIs to be attracted from manufacturing and services sectors over the next few years FDI and export to solve SL’s debt challenge?
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Trade facilitating initiatives
Exports, imports, GSP+ Exports $ 17 billion, missing target of $ 17.4 billion - 15% export growth Imports Increase of 8.3% SL has a history of trade deficits GSP+ - GSP utilization rate has declined from 73.8% in 2009 to 54.8% in 2017 SL has reaffirmed its commitments Key industries Tea - Jan tea exports up 17.5% - SL to increase exports to China Apparel - Largest export revenue earner - Total trade value over $ 5 billion - Nearly 50% of industrial products exports Spices - Revenue target 2019: $ 500 m Tourism million tourists in % increase in tourist earnings - Jan 2019: tourist arrivals up 2% Trade facilitating initiatives Ports - Colombo Port “smart port” - Kankesanthurai Harbour: transition into a commercial port Airport - Lack of capacity at Bandaranaike International Airport - Plan to develop the Palali airport in Jaffna as an international airport EPZ - The construction of the Bingiriya Export Processing Zone is supposed to commence on March 4
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Thank you!
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