1. THE THREE-LEGGED STOOLS OF DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
Dr. Walter Hays,
Global Alliance For Disaster Reduction

2. A DISASTER is ---
--- the set of failures that occur when three continuums: 1)  people, 2) community (i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and social constructs), and 3) recurring events (e.g., floods, earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point in space and time, when and where the people and community are not ready.    

3. THE THREE CONTINUUMS OF EVERY DISASTER
PEOPLE
COMMUNITY
RECURRING EVENTS (AKA Natural Hazards, which are proof of a DYNAMIC EARTH)

4. PEOPLE IN EVERY COMMUNITY NEED A BASIS FOR CHANGING THEIR BEHAVIOR
THE WEAK LINK IS PEOPLE
PEOPLE IN EVERY COMMUNITY NEED A BASIS FOR CHANGING THEIR BEHAVIOR

5. WHEN AN INTERSECTION OCCURS, A DISASTER OCCURS - - -
- - - IF THE PEOPLE AND THE COMMUNITY
ARE NOT READY FOR WHAT HAPPENS
COMMUNITY
PEOPLE
RECURRING EVENTS P T S O CP

6. PREPAREDNESS: ANTICIPATE THE FAILURES

7. IT’S ALL ABOUT ANTICIPATION, NOT REACTION

8. PREPARATION

9. WHY IS ONE SUNFLOWER MUCH LARGER THAN THE REST?
All had the same sunshine.
All had the same soil.
All had the same rainfall.
All had the same growing season.

10. IF YOU WANT TO BE UNPREPARED FOR A DISASTER
BE SURE THAT THE CITIZENS, STAKEHOLDERS, AND
DECISIONMAKERS ARE - - -
APATHETIC
IGNORANT
UNAWARE OF THE RISKS P T S O CP

11. SOCIAL SCIENCE PROVIDES UNDERSTANDING OF THE WEAK LINK
MYTH– there is a “general public,” so one glove fits all.
REALITY--there are many different sectors of the public having different motivations and needs, so develop sector- specific knowledge.

12. PRINCIPLES OF SOCIAL SCIENCE THAT AFFECT DISASTER PREVENTION
MYTH– people will do what they say they will do
REALITY—the coefficient of correlation between what people say and what they actually do is VERY LOW, so have legal mandates to ensure compliance.

13. PRINCIPLES OF SOCIAL SCIENCE THAT AFFECT DISASTER PREVENTION
MYTH– mailing a report is communication
REALITY—communication is an active 2-way process involving: A SOURCE and A RECEIVER, A MESSAGE, and A CHANNEL (or multiple channels), so develop programmes with a long time line.

14. COMMUNI-CATION “BEST POLICIES AND PRACTICES COMMUNITY STAKEHOLDERS
FUNCTIONAL NETWORKING CHANNELS
INFORMATION NETWORKING CHANNELS
READINESS FOR A POSSIBLE DISASTER
ORGANIZATION NETWORKING CHANNELS
PRIVATE SECTOR
PUBLIC SECTOR
COMMUNITY
STAKEHOLDERS
ACADEMIA
Stratec Consulting

15. PRINCIPLES OF SOCIAL SCIENCE THAT AFFECT DISASTER PREVENTION
MYTH– mailing a report or sending an is transfer of ownership of knowledge
REALITY—transfer of ownership of knowledge is a process: HEARING, UNDERSTANDING, and PERSON-ALIZING FOR ACTION.

16. TRANSFER OF OWNERSHIP OF KNOWLEDGE PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION
PERIOD OF INTEGRATION
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY
PERIOD OF IMPLEMENTATION
UNDER-STAND
IDENT-IFY
HEAR
PERSON-ALIZE
ACT

17. YOU WILL BE PREPARED FOR WHAT HAPPENS IN A DISASTER
WHEN THE CITIZENS, STAKEHOLDERS, AND
DECISIONMAKERS SEIZE WINDOWS OF OPPORTUNITY
FOR KNOWLEDGE TRANSFER
UNDERSTAND
HEAR
PERSONALIZE FOR ACTION P T S O CP

18. PREPAREDNESS FACILITATES COPING WITH A DISASTER