1. State and Global Trends in Geo Energy and their Impact on Renewables
REALISE Forum Conference, Ljubljana, May 18, 2018

2. Outline
Total Primary Energy Supply of the World Mineral oil, coal, natural gas and the strategic energy ellipse Unconventional oil and gas Total Final Energy Consumption Electricity generation & the role of Nuclear power Renewable Energy Sources
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

3. Total Primary Energy Supply of the World
Source: IEA 2017
BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

4. Mineral oil production in California 2002
Global Oil production: mbd – world wide proven reserves: 1115 bn b - but only one third with low or medium investment risk
No large fields (> 1 mbd) are being discovered in the past 30 years Oil price
Yesterday 133 US-$ per barrel – over 1,000 times higher than a decade ago
Prediction of analysts at Goldman Sachs as well as ministers of the OPEC oil cartel: prices could reach $ 200 per barrel within two years
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

5. Oil reserves
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

6. Oil & Gas Reserves by Nation
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

7. World Oil Reserves
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

8. The strategic energy ellipse
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9. Production of oil shale
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10. Sudden disruption
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11. Natural Gas – Shah Deniz platform, AZ
© BP 2012
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

12. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

13. Shale gas map
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

14. Shale gas production
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15. Natural gas robbery in the 3rd World
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

16. World Electricity Generation by Fuel
Surce: IEA 2017
BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

17. Total Final Energy Consumption of the World
Source: IEA 2017
BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

18. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

19. BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

20. BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

21. Global Role of Nuclear Electricity of FEC (2010/2016)
Nuclear share of electricity generation: 12.9%
Electricity share of Final Energy Consumption: 17.7%
Nuclear share of Final Energy Consumption: 2.28%
and 2016
Nuclear share of electricity generation: 10.1%
Electricity share of Final Energy Consumption: 18.5%
Nuclear share of Final Energy Consumption: 1.87%
BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

22. Nuclear Electricity Share of TFEC of the six largest Generators (2008)
KOR
JAP D
USA
RUS
TPES in Mtoe
266,50
226,95
495,84
335,28
2.283,72
686,76
Electricity gener. in TWh
570,3
443,9
1.075,0
631,2
4.343,8
1.038,4
Nuclear el. gen. in TWh
439,5
151,0
258,1
148,5
837,8
163,1
Share in %
77,1
34,0
24,0
23,5
19,3
15,7
TFEC in Mtoe
165,55
147,54
318,81
235,67
1.542,25
435,51
Share Electricity of FEC in %
22,5
23,7
26,0
19,1
21,3
14,0
Share Nuclear electricity of TFEC in %
17,3
8,1
6,2
4,5
4,1
2.2 [1
Source: IEA 2010
BC CARE & FFU. Lutz Mez

23. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

24. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

25. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

26. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

27. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

28. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

29. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

30. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

31. Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez

32. Thank you for your attention!
PD Dr. Lutz Mez FFU, Ihnestr. 22, D Berlin
Environmental Policy Research Centre, Lutz Mez