1. BACKGROUND TO THE DISCUSSIONS ON MODUS OPERANDI
Annual Meeting 2017, 20/10/2017
Robert Nasi

2. A quick glance on our Center’s evolution
Funding trends before the CGIAR reform
Funding trends
Staffing trends
Performance trends
Main points
Potential consequences

3. Funding trends before the reform.

7. Results…

8. Funding trends after the reform

9. OH, results… Center Financials 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Center Expenditure
24.9
28.2
33.8
42.9
49.0
40.8
36.7
Revenue
Unrestricted
11.5
6.4
0.6
0.7
0.3
W1/2 (Center only)
4.3
12.6
13.7
11.9
6.9
4.7
W1/2 CCT (MSU+Gender+Comm+SL)
0.2
2.0
2.5
2.4
1.3
1.8
Restricted (W3+Bilateral)
13.4
18.9
25.5
29.4
29.6
24.8
25.1
Result (Surplus or Deficit)
2.2
7.2
(2.2)
(4.6)
(4.8)
OH rate
28%
16%
15%
17%
14%
notes:
Deficit in 2014 and 2015 on account of DFID KNOWFOR
Deficit in 2016 is cumulative over-expenditure for period

10. OH, results… Expenditures Deficit Reserves CIFOR OH CIFOR OH%
2015
2016
2017
Expenditures
40.7
35.7
32.5
Deficit
(4.6)
(4.8)
(2.5)
Reserves
15.2
11.4
8.9
CIFOR OH
5.7
6.1
5.2
CIFOR OH%
14%
17%
16%
CIFOR Research Support
5.0
3.6
CIFOR Res. Support%
11%
OH+RS %
28%
31%
27%
Recovery OH+RS %
18%
21%
Note: in 2015 the deficit was from donor designated reserves 

11. Staffing trends Research Vs Non-Research YEAR RESEARCH NON-RESEARCH
Total
2009 75 99
174
2010 82
101
183
2011 93
103
196
2012
113
206
2013
125
129
254
2014
138
143
281
2015
124
223
2016 80
112
192
2017 73
111
184
Staffing trends
Programme/Team
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Forests & Environment (ENV) 26 27 34 33 41 31
Forests & Governance (GOV) 29 36
Forests & Livelihoods (LIV) 23 49 59
Director General Office (DGO) 1 3 6 5 8
Climate Change, Energy, & LCD (CCE) 16 21
Equal Opportunities, Gender, Justice, & Tenure (EGT) 17 13
Forest Management & Restoration (FMR) 4
Forests & Human Well-Being (HWB) 10
Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry (FTA)
Research to Impact (RTI)
Sustainable Landscapes and Food (SLF) 9
Value Chains, Finance, & Investments (VFI) 12
Staff hosted by CIFOR 2
Grand Total 75 82 93
125
138
124 80 73

12. Publications /type / year

13. ISI publications and pub/FTE
Type
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
ISI
NON-ISI
Non - ISI
IRS
0.65
0.29
0.92
0.48
1.49
0.49
1.74
0.50
2.16
0.43
2.21
0.68
2.76
0.86
4.35
0.22
NRS
0.17
0.12
0.05
0.21
0.37
0.20
0.39
0.31
0.63
0.08
0.77
PDF
0.07
0.13
0.60
0.27
0.71
1.20
0.67
1.83

14. Citation numbers

15. Quickly decreasing CGIAR funding since 2014
Main points…
Quickly decreasing CGIAR funding since 2014
Nature of the funding changed: all fully restricted starting 2017
Reduced number of research staff back to 2010 level with a 1.5 time bigger budget
Increased efficiency and (beginning) recovery
Increased performance (as measured as proxy via publications) in spite of unfavorable context

16. Fundraising –staff coverage prospects…
Themes
Total project Budget - USD
Amount going through CIFOR's budget
Staff time USD
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
CCE
38,232,629
5,881,815
1,292,355
460,377
449,093
293,051
89,835
HWB
10,599,095
3,387,031
1,318,608
305,660
403,611
294,092
194,108
121,136
2,022
SLF
80,410,098
13,082,228
3,940,600
74,336
901,609
868,004
794,161
771,228
531,262
EGT
22,000,000
30,000
22,058
10,866
11,192
FMR
15,257,992
107,000
62,831
VFI
4,554,968
4,290,968
322,826
74,909
177,155
70,761
COE
12,430,000
7,242,224
1,077,583
1,675,867
1,698,040
1,707,184
809,585
273,963
Cross-Themes
28,694,372
28,134,078
4,713,774
1,168,721
1,181,684
Total
224,220,032
67,683,998
18,915,275
2,764,040
4,811,170
4,572,868
4,170,188
1,791,785
807,246

17. Potential consequences
Increased pressure on staff (probably apply to all but more to “operations”)
Difficulties in steering our agenda as we wish
Structural deficit because great difficulties – in spite of major progress - in recovering indirect and support costs
Some teams are in a precarious situation (low staffing, few projects, few proposals)

18. Thank you