1. State/Federal Technical Work Collaborative Group Conference call
Regional Technical Operations Work Group Modeling Year representativeness analysis project
State/Federal Technical Work Collaborative Group Conference call
“small group"
May 14, 2018
Tom Moore

2. Modeling Year representativeness analysis
Kickoff Project – foundational work
Contractor support with in-kind WRAP member agencies’ effort
Purpose: determine inter-annual variability of meteorology, emissions, and air quality observations in the western U.S. to assess representativeness for regional modeling and air quality planning
Examine available meteorology and air quality observations from monitoring networks in the western and central U.S. (i.e., WRAP and selected CENSARA states), focused on , including:
Meteorology
Surface temp., Wind speed, Precipitation, Synoptic climatology variation and typing
Emissions trends and important changes/variation in source categories
Air Quality
Ozone, PM2.5 total mass and species and PM10 total mass, Wet deposition of nitrogen (NH4+, NO3-)

3. Representativeness Analysis: Project Tracking Sheet
Parameters
Status
Air Quality
IMPROVE RH Components
Light extinction summaries
Made additional improvements to prototype interactive graphics tool
Peak urban ozone and PM concentrations
Annual O3 and PM design value summary statistic by county
Produced maps of annual NAAQS summary statistics
O3 and PM means and percentiles: rural
Daily max 8-hr O3, PM2.5, PM10
Downloaded daily max 8-hr O3 and seasonal mean PM component concentrations from EPA CASTNET webpage
Deposition
Seasonal total deposition by geographic sub-region from CASTNET/NTN
Added annual wet deposition maps and trends to OneNote; still need dry deposition maps
Exceptional AQ and climate events
Identify any exceptional event flags in AQ data; review NOAA annual climate event summaries
Rec’d responses from: J. Spenillo, EPA Reg. X; added NOAA annual climate anomaly summaries to OneNote
Meteorology
Ozone conducive conditions: EPA method
EPA O3 Adj. Factors
Have annual maps and regional time series for ; entered into OneNote
Upper air Wx Patterns
Seasonal anomaly maps: 500mb height, T
  Quarterly means and anomalies for 500mb height, 1000 mb T, SLP
Sfc Wx Patterns
Seasonal anomaly maps: T, WS
  Quarterly means and anomalies of SLP; added ENSO timeseries to OneNote
Precipitation
PRISM interpolated precip maps
Annual and monthly total precip and % of avg;
Drought
Drought indices
U.S. Drought Monitor infographics now in OneNote
Emissions
Fires
Quarterly avg PM2.5 from FINN
FINN fire emissions downloaded; quarterly maps completed;
Anthropogenic Emissions
NEI totals by state for selected SIC rollups
Rec’d list of SCC groups used by WA Ecology from F. Herron-Thorpe; On-Highway NOx and PM emissions by sub-region; IWDW 2008 and 2011 emissions by source sector
Other
Field Studies
FRAPPE, CABOTS, LVOS/FAST-LVOS

4. project schedule and deliverables
WRAP-up Schedule
4/30: Collect comments in OneNote
5/1 – 5/18: Ramboll develops synthesis of results
afternoon of 5/22: RTOWG call to discuss draft synthesis results, content and organization of draft report
5/30: Draft report (with description of data collected/analyzed, data synthesis, results and recommendations)
~6/5: Handoff IMPROVE graphing tool to CIRA
6/10: Comments on draft report
Week of 6/14: Final report
5 project calls since early Feb.
Transfer data and display tools to Technical Support System

5. Thanks.