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FIN 360: Corporate Finance
Topic 11: Cost of Capital and the Basics of Capital Budgeting Larry Schrenk, Instructor
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Overview Cost of Capital Decision Rules in Capital Budgeting
Sources of Capital Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) WACC Example Decision Rules in Capital Budgeting The Decision Rules: Payback Period Discounted Payback Period Net Present Value (NPV) Internal Rate of Return (IRR) Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR) Some Additional Issues
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Sources of Capital Internal External Pecking Order Capital as ‘Cost’
Retained Earnings External Debt Equity Pecking Order Capital as ‘Cost’
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Interpretation Average Cost to Firm of Capital Uses Firm Cost of Capital Discounting for Projects Cautions: Risk Financing
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WACC Formula Weights (Weighted Average) Required Returns Tax Effect
wi = weight of asset ri = return on asset tc = corporate tax rate Weights (Weighted Average) Required Returns Tax Effect
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Weights
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Weights Two Goals Decisions Forecast Relate to Project
Firm versus Project Weights Book versus Market Past versus Future Actual versus Target
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Required Returns Bonds (rd) Preferred Stock (rp) Common Stock (rs)
Current YTM on Firm’s Bonds Return on Firm’s Bond Grade, e.g., AA Preferred Stock (rp) Implied Discount Rate from Market Common Stock (rs) CAPM Alternate Model
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Tax Effect Key Effect Required Return on Bond Dividends: Not Deducible
Interest Payments: Deducible Effect Dividends: $1 costs $1 Interest Payments: $1 costs $1(1- tc) If tc = 30%, $1( ) = $0.70 Required Return on Bond rd(1- tc)
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WACC Goal Minimize Cost Cost of Capital Debt Ratio
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Debt Trade-Off Why not All Debt Financing? Trade-Off Tax Subsidy
Financial Distress
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Tax Effects and Financial Distress
Present value of tax shield on debt Value of firm with debt subsidy Value of firm with debt subsidy and financial distress Maximum firm value Present value of financial distress costs Value of firm with no debt subsidy Value of Firm D* Debt
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WACC Example Investment Amounts Common Stock = $50,000 Bonds = $25,000
Preferred Shares = $25,000 Bond Price = $990 Coupon Rate = 8% Period = Semiannual Maturity = 25 Years Par Value = $1,000 Preferred Share Price = $85 Dividend = $8 Common Stock Risk-Free Rate (rf) = 5% Return on Market (rM) = 12% Beta (b) = 1.1 Corporate Tax Rate (tc) = 35%
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WACC Example Overview Calculate Weights, wd, wp, ws
Calculate Cost of Equity Capital, rs, using CAPM. Calculate Cost of Preferred Capital, rs, using Market Implied Discount Rate Calculate Cost of Debt Capital, rd, using YTM. Calculate WACC.
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WACC Example: Weights
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WACC Example: Cost of Debt
Price = $990 Coupon Rate = 8% Period = Semiannual Maturity = 25 Years Par Value = $1,000 Yield to Maturity (YTM) P/Y = 2; N = 50; I/Y = 8.09%; PV = 990; PMT = -40; FV = -1,000
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WACC Example: Cost of Preferred
Price = $85 Dividend = $8 Implied Discount Rate
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WACC Example: Cost of Equity
rf = 5% rM = 12% b = 1.1 CAPM
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WACC Example: Result wd = 0.25; wp = 0.25; ws = 0.50 rd = 8.09%
rp = 9.41% rs = 12.70% tc = 35%
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Decision Rules in Capital Budgeting
Goal: Only do projects that increase firm value Criteria: C1) Recognize the time value of money. C2) Incorporate all relevant free cash flows.
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Decision Rules in Capital Budgeting
Avoid (if possible): C3) Arbitrary assumptions, C4) The need for data that has great uncertainty, C5) Excessive complexity of calculation, and C6) Technical problems.
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The Five Decision Rules
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Data r = 10% 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Payback Period Rule Do project if total cash flow within the payback period > the required investment.
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Payback Period EXAMPLE: 3 Year Payback Period Calculation
= 900 < 1,000 Result: $ < $1, Bad Project 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Calculate Payback Period
Find payback period: = 900 < 1,000 < 1,600 = Period is between 3 and 4 years Amount left to be paid in year 4 = 1,000 – 900 = 100 Cash flow in year 4 = 700 Payback point in year 4 = 100/700 = Payback Period = years 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Payback Period Evaluation Result: Fails C1) Fails (no discounting)
C2) Fails (not after payback period) C3) Fails (length of payback period) C4) Passes C5) Passes C6) Passes Result: Fails
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Discounted Payback Period
Rule Do project if present value of the cash flows within the payback period > the required investment.
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Discounted Payback Period
EXAMPLE (r = 10%): 3 Year Discounted Payback Period Calculation: Result: $ < $1, Bad Project 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Calculate Discounted Payback Period
Find discounted payback period: = < 1,000 < 1, = Period is between 3 and 4 years Amount left to be paid in year 4 = 1,000 – = Cash flow in year 4 = Payback point in year 4 = / = Discounted Payback Period = years 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700 272.73 165.29 300.53 478.11
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Discounted Payback Period
Evaluation C1) Passes C2) Fails (not after payback period) C3) Fails (length of payback period) C4) Passes C5) Passes C6) Passes Result: Fails
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T-P-S If the payback period approach says a project is good, then the discounted payback period will always agree. True False If the discounted payback period approach says a project is good, then the payback period will always agree.
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Net Present Value (NPV)
Rule Do project if NPV is positive.
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Net Present Value (NPV)
NPV is: The present value of all cash flows (including any required investments).
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Net Present Value (NPV)
EXAMPLE (r = 10%): NPV Calculation: Result: $ > 0 Good Project 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Net Present Value (NPV)
Evaluation C1) Passes C2) Passes C3) Passes C4) Require estimating long term cash flows C5) Moderate complexity C6) Passes Result: G) Passes
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T-P-S If you apply the discounted payback period, but include all relevant cash flows, would this be an acceptable method? Yes No It would depend on other factors.
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NPV on Calculator What is the NPV of a cash flow that costs $1000 and has the following cash flows: 200, -300, 1,200 (r = 18%)? Press CF, Input 1000, Press +/-, Press Enter Press , Input 200, Press Enter Press , Press Enter (Default Frequency is 1) Press , Input 300, Press +/-, Press Enter Press , Input 1200, Press Enter Press NPV, Input 18, Press Enter Press , CPT to get , i.e., $ NOTE: Similar to Mixed CF calculation.
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NPV on Calculator What is the NPV of a cash flow that costs $1000 and has the following cash flows: 200, -300, 1,200 (r = 18%)? =npv(18,-1000,{ 200, -300, 1200} Answer =
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Rule Do project if IRR > required rate of return (r).
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
IRR is: The discount rate that makes present value of all cash flows (including any required investments) equal to zero.
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IRR Diagram = + + + = IRR is the discount rate that makes
C1/(1+IRR) PV(C4) + C2/(1+IRR)2 PV(C3) + C3/(1+IRR)3 PV(C2) + C4/(1+IRR)4 PV(C1) = IRR is the discount rate that makes Total PV = |C0 | Total PV = |-C0|
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
EXAMPLE (r = 10%): IRR Calculation: Result: 18.1% > 10% Good Project 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
Evaluation C1) Passes C2) Passes C3) Passes C4) Requires estimating long term cash flows C5) Moderate complexity C6) Technical Problems 1) Reinvestment Rate Assumption 2) Multiple IRR Results 3) Project Comparisons Result: G) Passes (assuming the technical problems do not occur)
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IRR on Calculator What is the IRR of a cash flow that costs $1000 and has the following cash flows: 200, -300, 1,200? Press CF, Input 1000, Press +/-, Press Enter Press , Input 200, Press Enter Press , Press Enter (Default Frequency is 1) Press , Input 300, Press +/-, Press Enter Press , Input 1200, Press Enter Press IRR, , CPT to get 3.34, i.e., 3.34%
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IRR on Calculator =irr(-1000,{ 200, -300, 1200} Answer = 3.34%
What is the IRR of a cash flow that costs $1000 and has the following cash flows: 200, -300, 1,200? =irr(-1000,{ 200, -300, 1200} Answer = 3.34%
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Modified Internal Rate of Return
Rule Do project if MIRR > required rate of return (r). MIRR is the discount rate that makes the present value of all cash outflows equal to the present value of the terminal value.
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‘Modification’ Allows the reinvestment rate of cash flows to be specified. Allows the reinvestment rate of cash flows to be different than the discount rate.
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MIRR Diagram = MIRR is the discount rate that makes PV(Total FV) =|C0|
+ C3(1+rRI) FV(C3) + C2(1+rRI)2 FV(C2) + C1(1+rRI)2 |-C0| FV(C1) = = PV(Total FV) Total FV Total FV (1+MIRR)4
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Modified Internal Rate of Return
Steps: 1) Determine all cash flows. 2) Find the ‘terminal value’, i.e., the future value, of all cash inflows. 3) Find the present value of all cash outflows. 4) Find the MIRR which is the discount rate that makes the present value of all cash outflows equal to the present value of the terminal value.
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Modified Internal Rate of Return
EXAMPLE (r = 10%): MIRR Step 1: Determine Cash Flows Above 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Modified Internal Rate of Return
EXAMPLE (r = 10%): MIRR Step 2: Calculate Terminal Value (TV), i.e., the future value of cash inflows. 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Modified Internal Rate of Return
EXAMPLE (r = 10%): MIRR Step 3: Find the present value of all cash outflows. The only cash outflow is at t = 0 and its present value is -1,000. 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Modified Internal Rate of Return
EXAMPLE (r = 10%): MIRR Step 4: Find the MIRR that makes the present value of all cash outflows equal to the present value of the terminal value. Result: 15.53% > 10% Good Project 1 2 3 4 -1,000 300 200 400 700
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Modified Internal Rate of Return
Evaluation C1) Passes C2) Passes C3) Passes C4) Requires estimating long term cash flows C5) Most complexity C6) Passes Result: G) Passes
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Summary of the Five Rules
Undertake Projects when: Payback Period: Payback period cash flow > investment Discounted Payback Period: Discounted payback period cash flow > investment NPV: NPV > 0 IRR: IRR > r MIRR: MIRR > r
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Some Additional Issues
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Some Additional Issues
Comparing NPV and IRR Using Decision Rules to Compare or Select among Projects Sign Changes in the Cash Flows and Multiple IRR’s
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Comparing NPV, IRR, and MIRR
Assuming no technical problems occur, NPV and IRR always give the same and the correct answer about whether or not to do one specific project.
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Comparing Projects The IRR and MIRR rules cannot be used to compare projects or select among projects since they do not meaningfully compare the absolute advantage of one project over another. Instead, the NPV rule must be used to compare or select among projects.
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Comparing Projects EXAMPLE (r = 10%): Period 1 2 3 4 5 A -1,000 300
200 400 700 B -100 40 30 50 80
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Comparing Projects IRRA IRRB
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Comparing Projects NPVA NPVB
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Comparing Projects Results
IRRA = 18.1% < IRRB = 29.6% NPVA = $ > NPVB = $53.36 Question: Would you rather have a higher rate of return or a higher dollar return? In the end it is the dollar return that counts Project A increases firm value by $ Project B increases firm value by $53.36. Project A is worth $ more than B!
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Sign Changes and Multiple IRR’s
What is the IRR of the following cash flow? 1 2 3 4 -3 20 -16 -32 32
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Sign Changes and Multiple IRR’s
There are multiple correct answers! This is possible whenever there is more than one sign change in the cash flows!
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Sign Changes and Multiple IRR’s
The line crosses the x-axis at each IRR.
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