1. SDG7.1 ACCESS TO ELECTRICITY AND CLEAN COOKING
Beijing, China - May 30, 2019
Elisa Portale, Senior Energy Specialist and Energy Knowledge Hub Coordinator, ESMAP, World Bank

2. ESMAP ENERGY KNOWLEDGE HUB: key tools to track the Sustainable Development Goal
All reports and data are available on and data on ENERGYDATA.INFO
TRACKING SDG7: Energy Progress Report
Global historical trends and tracking of the energy pillars (access, renewables and efficiency) in 220 countries. Join publication of custodian agencies:
Part ners
MTF
Multi-Tier Framework
New definition of access and household data collection in 15+6 countries to track SDG7.1 in its detailed dimensions (reliability, affordability) for electricity and cooking services
RISE
Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy
Global inventory of policies and regulations for the three pillars in 133 countries for the period and pilot on clean cooking
SEAR
State of Electricity Access Report 2017
Compendium of challenges, barriers and strategy with hands-on examples and references
Next SEAR on clean cooking
The ENERGY knowledge Hub includes four products to track sustainable energy goals
Tracking SDG7 is a comprehensive tool to track the energy pillars (access, renewables and efficiency). Last edition of the report was launched last week in New York during the mid decade of sustainable energy for all
Then the MTF is able to capture in more details this missing dimensions through several attributes to define energy services – currently the team is implementing energy survey in 17 countries and Ethiopia, Rwanda and Cambodia country diagnostic reports have been released in 2018
Tracking SDG7 and MTF are tracking the outcomes tools but what has to be done to accelerate those outcomes? RISE is a scorecard for policy makers to capture policies in place to progress on SDG7
Quantitative indicators are indeed very helpful but it is important to have qualitative story behind the number and SEAR provides a success stories on accelerating access toward the SDG 7.1 that was published in Next SEAR will be on clean cooking under the Yabei program
All these tools are in synergy to provide support to policy makers to accelerate progress toward SDG7 and in this presentation will provide a brief flavor of the results of the various product and will how these tolls can complement each others to drive this effort.

3. ELECTRICITY

4. LDCs country access rate is 51% with 491.3 million
DESPITE ACCELERATING PROGRESS, THE WORLD IS STILL NOT ON TRACK TO REACH UNIVERSAL ELECTRIFICATION BY 2030
Gains in electricity access, (in billions of people and share of population with access to electricity) 0%
100%
LDCs 51%
83%
89%
92%
100%
Status as of baseline year in 2010
Progress between 2010 and 2017
Projected progress up to 2030
2030 SDG7 target
Source: World Bank, IEA
CLICK The current decade has seen significant progress in electrification across the developing world and the share of global population with access to electricity rose from 83% in 2010 to 89% in 2017.
Due to this remarkable electrification growth, the global population without access to electricity fell from 1.2 billion in 2010 to 840 million in 2017.
Notably, the electrification trend started to accelerate in 2015: an additional 153 million people were electrified yearly between 2015 and 2017 in comparison to 122 million annually between 2010 and 2015.
The average annual gain in the electrification rate since 2010, at 0.80 percentage points per year, falls short of the target rate required to reach universal access by 2030.
CLICK To make up for the lag, this rate needs to be 0.86 percentage points annually from 2018 to 2030.
Meanwhile, keeping up the current momentum will be increasingly challenging as progress is uneven and there is a growing gap between fast-electrifying countries and those lagging behind.
CLICKFurthermore, achieving universal access faces the difficulty of reaching the remaining unserved populations, which include those connected to frail and overburdened urban grids, as well as displaced and hard-to-reach populations.
CLICK Given the many challenges facing access-deficit countries, the latest projection places the access rate in 2030 at 92%, leaving 650 million people around the world without access to electricity.
LDCs country access rate is 51% with million

5. KEEPING UP THE CURRENT MOMENTUM WILL BE INCREASINGLY CHALLENGING AS PROGRESS IS UNEVEN ACROSS REGIONS
Annual increase in electrification rate in access-deficit countries, (percentage points)
Source: World Bank, IEA
Since 2010, 44 countries achieved universal access, while another 29 countries accelerated their electrification rate at a pace of at least 2 percentage points annually.
However, as of 2017, 96 countries were yet to achieve 100% access to electricity, a large majority of which are LDCs in Sub-Saharan Africa and Central and Southern Asia.
In Sub-Saharan Africa, the electricity access gained by nearly 450 million people pushed up the regional access rate from 39% in 2015 to 44% in 2017.

6. Electricity access in the 20 least-electrified countries, 2010-2017
IN 2017, THE 20 LEAST-ELECTRIFIED COUNTRIES ARE ALL LDCs AND CONCENTRATED IN THE SUB-SAHARAN AFRICAN REGION
Electricity access in the 20 least-electrified countries,
Source: World Bank
Apart from Burundi, Malawi, Chad, and the Democratic Republic of Congo, these countries have been electrifying at a rate of over 1 percentage point annually since 2010.
South Sudan and Rwanda, in particular, stand out for their annual rate of over 3 percentage points.

7. IN 2017, ABOUT 78 PERCENT OF THE WORLD’S POPULATION WITHOUT ELECTRICITY LIVED IN THE TOP 20 ACCESS-DEFICIT COUNTRIES
Universal access requires progress in all countries. Acceleration of electrification across a larger set of countries, especially LDCs
Changes in electricity access rates in top 20 access-deficit countries,
Source: World Bank, IEA
CLICK In 2017, about 78 percent of the world’s population without electricity lived in the top 20 access-deficit countries.
CLICK With 16 out of the top 20 countries electrifying at over 1 percentage point each year since 2010, the largest access-deficit countries are also driving the global increase in electrification—and progress on SDG indicator
But, this growth had only a marginal effect on the net decline in the population without access because:
Some of the countries with unserved populations of over 50 million in 2017—like the Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria, and Pakistan—have electrified less than 1 percentage point of their population annually since 2010.
In a majority of the top 20 access-deficit countries, the incremental access between 2010 and 2017 did not keep pace with population growth.
Therefore, the global growth in access was in fact driven by countries like India and Bangladesh, where incremental access outpaced population growth by a significant margin.
CLICK: According to RISE report the policies to sustain access to electricity in least electrified countries are still in the yellow/ red zone so much has still to be done

8. TO CONNECT THE POOREST AND HARDEST TO REACH HOUSEHOLDS, OFF-GRID SOLUTIONS WILL BE CRUCIAL
This marks a threefold increase from 2010 – 2017 in the population connected to electricity from off-grid sources.
Source: World Bank
CLICK Globally, at least 34 million people had access to the equivalent of Tier 1+ electricity service either through SHSs or connection to mini grids based on solar, hydropower and biogas in 2017.
This marks a threefold increase from 2010 – 2017 in the population connected to electricity from off-grid sources.
These trends indicate the increasing maturity of off-grid and mini grid markets and technologies, but there is still scope for countries to exploit the full potential of these electricity sources.

9. OFF-GRID SOLUTIONS BROUGHT ELECTRICITY ACCESS TO OVER A QUARTER OF THE COMBINED POPULATION OF BANGLADESH, CAMBODIA, ETHIOPIA, MYANMAR, AND RWANDA IN 2017
Off-grid solutions in Bangladesh, Cambodia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Myanmar, and Rwanda, by technology, 2017
Source: World Bank
Off-grid electrification solutions that provide Tier 1+ access, including mini grids, generators, off-grid solar products, and rechargeable batteries, served 14% of the combined population of Bangladesh, Cambodia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Myanmar, and Rwanda in 2017.
The role of off-grid energy solutions is crucial in electrification, but the type of off-grid energy solutions varies between countries.
In Myanmar, mini grids have made strong inroads and been instrumental in bolstering electrification efforts in the country.
In Rwanda or Ethiopia, the most prevalent off-grid energy solutions are solar lantern or solar lighting systems which provide basic lighting services along with mobile charging and radio.

10. MYANMAR: COMPREHENSIVE REGULATORY FRAMEWORK ON OFF GRID AND ACTUAL ACCESS TO TECHNOLOGIES
Source: World Bank RISE 2018
RISE electricity access - Myanmar, 2017
Source: World Bank MTF 2018
MTF Electricity access – Myanmar 2017
MYANMAR LAUNCHED STAND ALONE SYSTEM POLICY AND REGULATION FRAMEWORK IN 2014 AND WE CAN ALREADY SEE RELEVANT IMPROVEMENT IN THE SHARE OF ENERGY SOURCES IN THE COUNTRY.
Myanmar example illustrates strong relationship between a comprehensive regulatory framework on off grid and actual access to technologies

11. WHO STILL NEEDS TO GET ACCESS?
LDCs
ONLY 51% of people have access to electricity in LDCs and million people living without access. Representing 60% of total access deficit
Rural and remote population
87% of people without access live in rural areas and 18% are in remote area of high access countries
Urban poor
Urban access consistently lingering around 97%. Last 3% are urban poor
People living in FCV countries
27% of people without electricity live in FCV countries, representing 216 million people
Refugees, IDPs and host communities
75% of all refugees live in developing countries. Over 80% of those living in camps have minimal access to energy,
Priority access to social institutions (schools and clinics) for basic services
Support to demand-side interventions and productive uses of electricity for economic growth
Main segment of beneficiaries of future access programs
18% of people without access
countries with an access rate > 80%, representing 153 million people

12. ELECTRIFICATION EFFORTS FACE THE COMPLEXITIES OF REACHING THE REMAINING UNSERVED POPULATIONS, WHICH INCLUDE THOSE CONNECTED TO FRAIL URBAN GRIDS, AS WELL AS DISPLACED AND REMOTE POPULATIONS
Reinforcing data-driven decision making on electrification
Exploiting the full potential of renewable-based, decentralized solutions
Adopting an advanced policy framework for electricity access
Stimulating demand for productive use of electricity
Leveraging private sector financing
Tailoring  multifaceted electrification strategies to leave no one behind
Source: RISE 2018, World Bank
Reaching the remaining unserved people, including those connected to frail and overburdened urban grids, as well as displaced people, and hard-to-reach and FCV locations, will be challenging.
Maintaining and extending the pace of progress will require strong political commitment, long-term energy planning, stepped-up private financing and adequate fiscal incentives.
Combining grid and off-grid solutions, including solar lighting, solar home systems, and increasingly mini grids, will be crucial.

13. COOKING

14. PERCENTAGE OF THE GLOBAL POPULATION WITH ACCESS TO CLEAN COOKING SOLUTIONS (%)0%
100%
57%
61%
74%
100%
Status as of baseline year in 2010
Progress between 2010 and 2017
Projected progress up to 2030
2030 SDG7 target
Source: WHO, IEA
CLICK The share of the global population with access to clean fuels and technologies for
cooking increased from 57% in 2010 to 61% in 2017.
CLICK Under the current and planned policies, clean cooking solution will reach only 74% of the population by We are far behind from reaching the SDG goals by 2030.
CLICK To achieve universal clean cooking targets by 2030 and to outpace population growth, the average annual increase in the proportion of households with access would need to increased from the 0.5% observed between 2010 to 2017, to around 3%.
we are still far behind from reaching the SDG goals by 2030.

15. REGIONAL POPULATIONS, BY RATE OF ACCESS TO CLEAN COOKING FUELS AND TECHNOLOGIES, 2017
Source: WHO 2019
The lack of access is most pronounced throughout developing Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, where all of the top 20 access-deficit countries are located.
Between 2010 to 2017, access did not improve substantially in Sub-Saharan Africa, remained stable in Latin America, and showed only show process in Developing Asia.
The rate of access to clean cooking solution remains much higher in urban areas, where around 83% have access, than in rural areas, where only 34% have access.
The access-deficit population in Sub-Saharan Africa increased from less than 750 million in 2010 to around 900 million in In Latin America, the proportion of people with access to clean fuels and technologies remained unchanged from 2016 to 2017, at around 88%, with an average annual increase of 0.4 percentage points between 2010 and 2017.

16. PREMATURE DEATHS GIVEN TO INDOOR AIR POLLUTION
Around 3 billion people continue to cook by burning biomass, like wood and charcoal. The resulting indoor air pollution leads to approximately 4 million premature deaths each year from indoor air pollution, primarily among women and children.
Around 3 billion people continue to cook by burning biomass, like wood and charcoal. The resulting indoor air pollution leads to approximately 4 million premature deaths each year from indoor air pollution, primarily among women and children
1.Around 3 billion people are still relying on polluting fuels and technology for cooking. Under the current and planned policies, 2.2 billion people are projected to be relying on polluting fuels and inefficient technologies in 2030.
2.This poses a big threat to health and exacerbates inequality, especially towards women and children, with about 4 million premature deaths per year from indoor air pollution.
3. Progress can be achieved through political and financial commitment towards expanding access to reliable and affordable supply of clean cooking solution.

17. RWANDA: LACK OF POLICIES IS REFLECTED IN THE LACK OF UPTAKE IN CLEAN COOKING SOLUTIONS
Source: World Bank MTF 2018
Virtually all households cook with biomass, mainly firewood and nearly 70% use a three-stone or traditional stove as they primary stove
Source: World Bank RISE 2018
RISE clean cooking pilot for Rwanda, 2017
RWANDA IS NOW WORKING ON INTRODUCING GOOD CLEAN COOKING POLICIES BASED ON THE DATA COMING FROM THE RECENT MTF SURVEY.
RWANDA: LACK OF POLICIES IS REFLECTED IN THE LACK OF UPTAKE IN CLEAN COOKING SOLUTIONS AND THE COUNTRY IS WORKING TOWARD CREATING GOOD POLICIES
RWANDA IS REALLY PUSHING FOR INTRODUCING GOOD CLEAN COOKING POLICIES BASED ON THE DATA COMING FROM THE RECENT MTF SURVEY.
CURRENTLY THE LACK OF POLICIES STANDARD AND LABELLING IS REFLECTED IN THE SLOW UPTAKE IN CLEAN COOKING SOLUTION BUT THE COUNTRY IS REALLY COMMITTED TO IT

18. POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
Transitioning to clean cooking requires tailored policies and programs that focus on key barriers to the adoption of clean cooking solutions, such as affordability, lack of supply, and social acceptability.
Particularly successful programs to date have addressed behavioural patterns, cultural norms, and regional variation.
Because women are typically responsible for cooking, they often have a comparative advantage in reaching out to other users of clean cookstoves.
Other success factors are enhanced multisectoral collaboration, political commitment, and greater public and private inve

19. THANK YOU