1. OF THE POULTRY INDUSTRY
FUTURE
OF THE POULTRY INDUSTRY
IN THE ARAB WORLD
Title Text..
by Musa Freiji
28/06/2012

2. The Poultry Industry in the Arab World
Contents:
Protection and subsidy policies vs. open trade policy.
Future prospects of table egg and poultry meat production.
Possibilities of the development of the poultry industry in the Arab World.
Conclusion.

3. Protection & Subsidy Policies
Economic policies stem out of the interests of the citizens.
The private sector’s ability to develop any industry and the poultry industry is one of them.
The industrialized countries adopt the subsidy policy towards agriculture.
- “Agricultural Policy” in USA (various forms of subsidies
add up to $ 180 billion/yr).
- “The General Agricultural Policy” in Europe (in excess of
50 billion Euros/yr).

4. Protection & Subsidy Policies (Cont.)
Justifications of the agricultural subsidy policy in the industrialized countries:
- Ensure availability of safe food products at reasonable prices.
- Ensure good standard of living to farmers.
- Spread agriculture in all regions.
- Protect the environment.
- Provide healthy conditions to bird and animal populations.
- Avoid migration from rural areas.
- Prevent unemployment in the rural areas.

5. Protection & Subsidy Policies (Cont.)
The USA and European subsidies represent only 0.5 % of their GNP.
We cannot blame the industrialized nations for subsidizing their agriculture.
Subsidy Policy has encouraged investment in agriculture and created self sufficiency and exports in spite of its violation to WTO resolutions. However, it provided self sufficiency and food safety.
Certain industrialized countries resort to protection as well:
- Canada imposes very high tariffs on imports of dairy, poultry and meat even
from USA in spite of NAFTA agreement with USA and Mexico.
- Japan prevents imports of rice and limited imports of red meat.
- Very strict quality standards are imposed.
The under-developed and developing countries cannot subsidize.

6. Protection & Subsidy vs. Open Trade
Certain Arab countries subsidize agriculture and poultry such as Saudi Arabia.
Most of Arab countries protect their agriculture not at the requested level.
The Arab countries should adopt the protectionist policy towards its poultry production.
WTO approves protection but not direct subsidy.
WTO members have failed so far to sign free trade agreements on agricultural products.
Increase in world population will limit food exports.
Most Arab countries have wrongly resorted to open trade policies of agricultural and food products, especially that no free trade agreements for agricultural and food products have been finalized between member states up to now.
My estimates of future table egg and poultry meat production in the Arab World in light of open trade policies.

7. TABLE EGG PRODUCTION (Million Eggs)
Estimate 2015
2010
Country
Per Capita (Egg)
Production
Production * 98
3,688 89
3,150
Algiers 24 18 19 13
Comoros ** 90
7,740 84
7,000
Egypt
179
1,225
163
1,042
Lybia 30
112 26 91
Moritania
132
4,520
120
3,833
Morocco
976 20
861
Sudan
158
1,759
144
1,513
Tunisia 36 50 51
Bahrain **
180
770
169
675
Palestine 39
1,323
950
Iraq **
151
1,001
126
782
Jordan ***
159
461
430
Kuwait **
195
186
783
Lebanon *** 58
192
154
Oman ** 31 55
Qatar **
3,804
117
3,217
Saudi Arabia ***
133
2,978
2,707
Syria ***
478
435
United Arab Emirates ** 47
1,538 42
1,010
Yemen 93
33,549 79
28,746
Arab World
1,059,526
World
2.71%
Arab % of world
Source: * FAO
** Importing countries

8. TABLE EGG PRODUCTION IN CERTAIN INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Per Capita
2010 Egg Production * (Million eggs)
Country
319
90,193
USA
233
7,142
Canada
243
15,277
France
181
10,317 UK
340
14,000
Spain
215
12,280
Italy
333
41,917
Japan
278
Average
Source: * FAO

9. POULTRY MEAT PRODUCTION IN THE ARAB WORLD
2015 Estimate
2010
Country
1000 MT
Per Capita (Kg)
1000 MT *
301.47
7.72
7.02
249.46
Algiers
0.65
0.85
0.77
0.54
Comoros **
829.65
9.30
8.45
685.12
Egypt **
155.72
22.12
20.11
128.70
Lybia
5.20
1.35
1.23
4.32
Moritania **
673.02
19.12
17.39
556.46
Morocco **
25.88
2.53
2.30
21.39
Somalia
60.91
1.27
1.15
50.00
Sudan
123.47
10.69
9.72
102.07
Tunisia
9.62
6.73
6.12
7.96
Bahrain **
59.18
13.45
12.23
48.91
Palestine
58.93
1.69
1.54
48.97
Iraq **
188.78
27.68
25.16
155.97
Jordan **
52.06
17.53
15.94
43.04
Kuwait **
165.20
36.42
33.11
139.07
Lebanon **
6.50
1.97
1.79
5.36
Oman **
7.13
4.05
3.68
5.88
Qatar **
691.71
22.95
20.86
571.61
Saudi Arabia **
227.99
10.16
9.24
188.58
Syria
41.50
5.03
4.57
34.30
United Arab Emirates **
172.05
6.49
5.90
142.10
Yemen **
3,856.62
10.63
8.79
3,189.81
Total
12.38
85,341.00
World
3.74 %
Arab % of world
   Source: * FAO
  ** Importing countries in addition to its production

10. IMPORTS OF POULTRY MEAT IN MOST ARAB COUNTRIES (in 1000 MT)
2015 Estimate
2009 *
Country
7.49
6.81
Comoros
588.89
300.00
Egypt
43.30
39.36
Jordan **
242.80
220.73
Kuwait
48.00
40.00
Lebanon **
610.18
554.71
Saudi Arabia
120.00
109.06
Yemen **
31.41
28.55
Bharain
226.15
115.00
Iraq
148.40
134.91
Oman **
81.46
67.88
Qatar
374.00
311.67
United Arab Emirates **
2,522.08
1,928.68
Total
Source: * FAO
** Part of the imported is re-exported to other Arab countries under the Convention on the Arab Free Trade Zone

11. POULTRY MEAT CONSUMPTION IN MOST ARAB COUNTRIES
2015 Estimate
2010
Country
Per Capita
1000 MT
Per Capita (Kg)
1000 MT *
9.53
372.15
8.67
307.78
Algiers *
11.55
8.89
10.50
7.35
Comoros
13.36
1,191.85
12.15
985.20
Egypt
23.60
166.14
21.46
137.36
Lybia *
19.13
673.38
17.39
556.41
Morocco
1.27
60.91
1.15
50.00
Sudan
11.96
125.58
10.87
114.19
Tunisia *
34.65
236.31
31.50
195.32
Jordan
38.50
114.35
35.00
94.50
Kuwait
46.90
216.68
42.64
179.07
Lebanon
44.64
1,345.45
40.58
1,111.92
Saudi Arabia *
9.25
207.57
8.41
171.57
Syria *
10.97
290.81
9.97
240.16
Yemen
30.89
44.17
28.08
36.51
Bahrain
10.58
368.92
9.62
305.07
Iraq *
20.47
67.55
18.61
55.83
Oman *
50.71
89.25
46.10
73.76
Qatar
31.88
263.01
28.98
217.38
United Arab Emirates *
16.96
5,842.97
15.72
4,839.38
Total
  Source: * FAO for year 2010

12. POULTRY MEAT PRODUCTION IN CERTAIN INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES
Per Capita (Kg)
2010 Production (1000 MT) *
Country
57.83
16338
USA
32.87
1009
Canada
18.84
1138
France
24.13
1407 UK
25.00
1027
Spain
14.35
822
Italy
11.13
1399
Japan
34.80
Average
Source: * FAO

13. Possibility of developing the poultry industry in the arab world
Development of the table egg sector is feasible.
- Imports of table eggs by 7 Arab Countries:
Year 2000 = 383 million eggs
Year 2005 = 415 million eggs
Year 2010 = 481 million eggs (+961 million to Iraq)
- Imports represent less than 1.95 % of the production
of these countries, except Iraq.

14. Possibility of developing the poultry industry in the arab world (cont
Development of the poultry meat sector is problematic.
- Cost of production is double that of Brazil or USA or Ukraine.
- Imports of poultry meat by the largest 10 Arab Countries:
Year 2000 = ,000 MT
Year 2005 = ,000 MT
Year 2010 = 2,010,000 MT
- Increase in imports were 66 % in the first 5 yrs, and 261 % in the second
5 yrs.
- Import duties on poultry meat in those countries range from 0 % to 30 %.

15. Possibility of developing the poultry industry in the arab world (cont
Conditions to develop the production of the poultry meat sector:
Increase import duties.
Reduce cost of production by 70 %.
Reduction of cost of production:
1) It is possible to reduce present cost of production by about 30 %
via:
Reduction of mortality to 5 % or lower.
Reduction of Feed Conversion to 1.7 or lower.
Increase of day-old chicks per hen housed to 135 or better.

16. Possibility of developing the poultry industry in the arab world (cont
2) Local production of feed ingredients may reduce the cost by a
further 40 %.
- Ethanol production from corn in USA resulted in increase in cost of corn and oil seeds.
- USA is adamant about doubling its ethanol production by year 2015 compared to year 2009.
- This policy will result in escalating corn and soya prices with time.

17. Possibility of developing the poultry industry in the arab world (cont
3) Therefore plantation of corn & oil seeds is becoming more
feasible.
- Sudan is a long time producer of sorghum and sesame.
- Only 60 million hectares out of 135 million arable land
are presently planted.
- Sudan enjoys two Nile rivers and excellent fertile land and
underground water.

18. The poultry industry in the arab world
Conclusion
Table egg production will continue to satisfy local demands.
Poultry meat production will drop to levels equal to demands of fresh poultry meat.
Development of poultry meat production requires:
- Protection of the local sectors.
- Reduction of cost of production via:
Improved productivity.
Control of Avian Influenza.
Plantation of feed ingredients.

19. Title Text..
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