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V. Ebrahimi, E. Hamdami, M. H. Khademian, M. D. Moemenbellah-Fard, B

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Presentation on theme: "V. Ebrahimi, E. Hamdami, M. H. Khademian, M. D. Moemenbellah-Fard, B"— Presentation transcript:

1 Epidemiologic prediction of snake bites in tropical south Iran: Using seasonal time series methods 
V. Ebrahimi, E. Hamdami, M.H. Khademian, M.D. Moemenbellah-Fard, B. Vazirianzadeh  Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health  Volume 6, Issue 4, Pages (December 2018) DOI: /j.cegh Copyright © Terms and Conditions

2 Fig. 1 Location of the study area in Hormozgan province and Iran.
Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, DOI: ( /j.cegh ) Copyright © Terms and Conditions

3 Fig. 2 Distribution of snake bite cases based on different months and seasons, 2012–2016. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, DOI: ( /j.cegh ) Copyright © Terms and Conditions

4 Fig. 3 Distribution of average of snakebite cases with respect to the average temperatures in various months of the years 2012–2016. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, DOI: ( /j.cegh ) Copyright © Terms and Conditions

5 Fig. 4 Time series plot of snakebite cases from June 2012 to August 2016. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, DOI: ( /j.cegh ) Copyright © Terms and Conditions

6 Fig. 5 Plot of autocorrelation (ACF) and partial autocorrelation (PACF) functions for snakebite cases. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, DOI: ( /j.cegh ) Copyright © Terms and Conditions

7 Fig. 6 Plot of residual versus ordered times, histogram of residuals, normal probability plot, and plot of residual versus fitted values for snakebite cases in fitting mixed seasonal ARMA model, ARMA  1, 0× 1, 1. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, DOI: ( /j.cegh ) Copyright © Terms and Conditions

8 Fig. 7 Plot of autocorrelation (ACF) and partial autocorrelation (PACF) of residuals for snakebite data set. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, DOI: ( /j.cegh ) Copyright © Terms and Conditions

9 Fig. 8 Plot of average of the actual observations and fitted values for snakebite cases per year via ARMA (1,0)×(1,1)12 model. Clinical Epidemiology and Global Health 2018 6, DOI: ( /j.cegh ) Copyright © Terms and Conditions


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