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Introduction to Statistics for the Social Sciences SBS200 - Lecture Section 001, Spring 2019 Room 150 Harvill Building 9:00 - 9:50 Mondays, Wednesdays & Fridays. February 18
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Even if you have not yet registered your clicker you can still participate
The Green Sheets
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Before next exam (March 1st)
Schedule of readings Before next exam (March 1st) Please read chapters in OpenStax textbook Please read Chapters 10, 11, 12 and 14 in Plous Chapter 10: The Representativeness Heuristic Chapter 11: The Availability Heuristic Chapter 12: Probability and Risk Chapter 14: The Perception of Randomness
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Labs continue this week
Lab sessions Everyone will want to be enrolled in one of the lab sessions Labs continue this week
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A word on “add-in” Using Excel ?
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t-tests Using Excel
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t-tests Using Excel
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Homework Assignment Worksheet
Distributed in Class Interpreting t-tests
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Whether or not feed had corn oil
No, feed had no corn oil Yes, the feed had corn oil Weight of eggs 60 grams if no corn oil 63 grams if corn oil weight of eggs based on corn oil in food weight of eggs based on corn oil in food true experiment between nominal ratio 200 100 100 198 99 99
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-3.35 1.97 Yes Yes Yes Yes 0.05 The weights of eggs for chickens who received the corn oil was 63 grams, while the weights of the eggs for chickens who did not receive the corn oil was 60 grams. A t-test found this to be a significant difference t(198) = -3.35; p < 0.05
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Whether or not offered incentive
Was offered incentive Was not offered incentive Grade point average 2.3 for incentive group 2.1 for no incentive group GPA based on incentive GPA based on incentive true experiment between nominal interval 500 250 250 498 249 249
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3.64 1.964 Yes Yes Yes Yes 0.05 The average GPA was 2.3 for students who were offered an incentive and was 2.1 for students who were not offered an incentive. A t-test was completed and we found this to be a significant difference t(498) = 3.64; p < 0.05
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Whether or not video included sound
Video with no sound Video with sound Number of items correctly recalled 3.7 for video with no sound 3.3 items for video with sound number of items recalled number of items recalled true experiment between nominal ratio 40 20 20 38 19 19
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1.17 2.02 No No No 0.248 No 0.05 The average number of items recalled was 3.7 for the students who watched the ads with no sound, and was 3.3 for students who watched video with sound. A t-test was completed and we found no significant difference t(38) = 1.17; n.s.
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Location of air conditioner plant
Japan United States Turnover rate 3.12% turnover rate for Japan 6.56% turnover rate for USA turnover rates between Japan and USA turnover rates between Japan and USA quasi between nominal ratio 10 5 5 8 4 4
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-4.46 2.31 Yes Yes Yes 0.0021 Yes 0.05 The average turnover rate in the Japanese plants is 3.12 while the average turnover rated in the American plants is A t-test showed a significant difference, t(8) = ; p < 0.05
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Always draw a picture! Homework worksheet
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1 .6800 1 sd 1 sd 28 30 32 Homework worksheet .6800 also fine: 68%
z =-1 z = 1 28 30 32
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2 .9500 2 sd 2 sd 26 28 30 32 34 Homework worksheet .9500
also fine: % also fine: .9500 2 sd 2 sd z =-2 z = 2 26 28 30 32 34
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3 .9970 3 sd 3 sd 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 Homework worksheet .9970
also fine: % also fine: .9970 3 sd 3 sd z =-3 z = 3 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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4 .5000 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 Homework worksheet .5000 also fine: 50%
z = 0 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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5 .4332 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 Homework worksheet z = 33-30 z = 1.5
Go to table .4332 2 5 also fine: % .4332 z = 1.5 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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z = 33-30 2 z = 1.5 Go to table .4332 Add area Lower half = .9332 6 also fine: % .9332 .4332 .5000 z = 1.5 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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7 .4332 .0668 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 Homework worksheet z = 33-30 = 1.5
= 1.5 Go to table .4332 Subtract from .5000 = .0668 2 7 also fine: 6.68% .4332 .0668 z = 1.5 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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z = 29-30 2 = -.5 Go to table .1915 Add to upper Half of curve = .6915 8 also fine: % .6915 .1915 .5000 z = -.5 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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= 25-30 2 = -2.5 .4938 Go to table = 31-30 2 =.5 .1915 Go to table = .6853 9 also fine: % .6853 .1915 .4938 z =-2.5 z = .5 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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z = 27-30 2 = -1.5 Go to table .4332 Subtract From .5000 = .0668 10 also fine: 6.68% .5000 .0668 .4332 z =-1.5 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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z = 25-30 2 = -2.5 Go to table .4938 Add lower Half of curve = .9938 11 also fine: % .9938 .5000 .4938 z =-2.5 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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z = 32-30 2 = 1.0 Go to table .3413 Subtract from .5000 = .1587 12 .5000 also fine: % .1587 .3413 z =1 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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13 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 50th percentile = median 30 In a normal curve
Median= Mean = Mode z =0 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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28 32 14 .6800 1 sd 1 sd z =-1 z = 1 24 26 28 30 32 34 36
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z table provides area from mean to score
x = mean + z σ = 30 + (.74)(2) = 31.48 77th percentile Find area of interest = .2700 Find nearest z = .74 15 .2700 .7700 z table provides area from mean to score .5000 31.48 z =.74 24 ? 30 36
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z table provides area from mean to score
13th percentile Find area of interest = .3700 Find nearest z = -1.13 x = mean + z σ = 30 + (-1.13)(2) = 27.74 16 Note: =.50 z table provides area from mean to score .3700 .1300 z =-1.13 27.74 ? 24 30 36
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Please use the following distribution with
a mean of 200 and a standard deviation of 40. 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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.6800 17 also fine: % also fine: .6800 1 sd 1 sd z =-1 z = 1 160 200 240
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.9500 18 also fine: % also fine: .9500 2 sd 2 sd z =-2 z = 2 120 200 280
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19 .9970 3 sd 3 sd 80 200 320 .9970 also fine: 99.70% also fine: .9974
z =-3 z = 3 80 200 320
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Go to table = = .75 .2734 40 20 also fine: % .2734 z =.75 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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Go to table Subtract from .5000 z = 40 = -.25 .0987 = .4013 21 also fine: .0987 .4013 .5000 z =-.25 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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Go to table Add to upper Half of curve z = 40 = -.5 .1915 = .6915 22 also fine: % .5000 .1915 .6915 z =-.5 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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z = 40 = 0.9 Go to table .3159 Subtract from .5000 = .1841 23 .3159 also fine: % .1841 z =.9 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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z = 40 = -.2 .0793 Go to table = .2881 z = 40 =.55 .2088 Go to table 24 also fine: % .2881 .2088 .0793 z =-.2 z =.55 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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= .9693 z = = 1.875 Go to table Add area Lower half .4693 or .4699 = .9699 40 25 Please note: If z-score rounded to 1.88, then percentile = 96.99% also fine: % .9693 .4693 .5000 z =1.875 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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Add area Lower half = .0089 = .0087 z = 40 z = 2.375 Go to table .4911 or .4913 26 Please note: If z-score rounded to 2.38, then area = .0087 also fine: 0.89% .4911 .0089 z =2.375 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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z = 40 = -1.75 .4599 Add to upper Half of curve Go to table = .9599 27 also fine: % .9599 .5000 .4599 z =-1.75 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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40 z = = -1.75 .4599 Subtract from .5000 = .0401 Go to table 28 .0401 .4599 .5000 also fine: 4.01% z =-1.75 80 120 160 200 240 280 320
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z table provides area from mean to score
x = mean + z σ = (2.33)(40) = 293.2 99th percentile Find area of interest = .4900 Find nearest z = 2.33 29 .4900 .9900 z table provides area from mean to score .5000 293.2 z =2.33 80 ? 120 160 200 240
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z table provides area from mean to score
33rd percentile Find area of interest = .1700 Find nearest z = -.44 x = mean + z σ = (-.44)(40) = 182.4 30 z table provides area from mean to score Note: =.50 .3300 .1700 182.4 z =-.44 ? 80 200 240 280 320
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z table provides area from mean to score
40th percentile Find area of interest = .1000 Find nearest z = -.25 x = mean + z σ = (-.25)(40) = 190 31 z table provides area from mean to score Note: =.50 182.4 .1000 .4000 z =-.25 ? 80 200 240 280 320
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z table provides area from mean to score
67th percentile Find area of interest = .1700 Find nearest z = .44 x = mean + z σ = (.44)(40) = 217.6 32 z table provides area from mean to score .1700 z =.44 80 200 217.6 ? 320
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Thank you! See you next time!!
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