1. The Longest Expansion …and what it means for you June 22, 2018
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

2. Currently second longest expansion…
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

3. Many aspects of the jobs market normalized…
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

4. With all indicators saying the expansion has not ended yet…
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

5. And will continue for the foreseeable future…
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

6. And will continue for the foreseeable future…
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

7. Oregon is no exception…
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

8. ? for the Fed: How low can unemployment go?
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

9. Interest rates are rising…
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

10. Very long leading indicator still good…
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

11. What’s keeping Fed from hiking faster?
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

12. What’s keeping Fed from hiking faster?
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

13. Challenge: Low unemployment
Low unemployment will help solve many problems!
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

14. Can you hold on to your employees?
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

15. One solution: A bigger labor force.
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

16. Another solution: Relax hiring guidelines.
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

17. Challenge: Material and labor costs.
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

18. Solution: Invest for efficiency gains.
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

19. Challenge: Financial instability?
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

20. Household debt still falling relative to size of the economy.
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

21. No obvious overinvestment in any one sector.
Timothy A. Duy …. …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/

22. The end. Timothy A. Duy …. duy@uoregon.edu …. econforum.uoregon.edu
@TimDuy …. economistsview.typepad.com/timduy/