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POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT FORECASTS

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Presentation on theme: "POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT FORECASTS"— Presentation transcript:

1 POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT FORECASTS
JUNE 2019

2 WHAT ARE WE ASKING OF YOU TODAY?
Approval of Resolution T-10-19: "Adoption of independent regional land use variables for inclusion in the 2020 Metropolitan Transportation Plan”

3 Population & Employment Forecasts: Overview
Future population & employment are key to planning for future transportation system needs 5-year increments out to 2050 Developed for 7-county region Presented at traffic analysis zone (TAZ) level

4 Population & Employment Forecasts: Process & Inputs
Establish base year (2020) estimates of population and employment Develop forecast year (2050) county control totals to project total growth Update future land use from local land use plans & points of interest Distribute growth using land use, commuting patterns, and factors that attract/deter development Revisions based on local review

5 Population & Employment Forecasts: Base Year Estimates
Decennial Census population Building permits from local permitting agencies Point of interest mapping Employment QCEW data from ODOT

6 Population & Employment Forecasts: County Control Totals

7 Population & Employment Forecasts: County Control Totals

8 Population & Employment Forecasts: Updated Land Use Mapping
Collected new parcel data for all 7 counties Updated & standardized existing land use Collected land use plans from local agencies Updated & standardized future land use Revisions based on local agency review Finalized Fall of 2018

9 Population & Employment Forecasts: Development Attraction Factors

10 PUBLIC COMMENT PERIOD April 18 – May 17, 2019
Comments received from 23 communities for 936 TAZs

11 Candidate project collection
WHAT’S NEXT? Candidate project collection Interactive web map Launching June 3 Project evaluation

12 TIMELINE (2019)

13 Aaron Schill Director, Data & Mapping aschill@morpc.org
111 Liberty Street, Suite 100 Columbus, OH 43215

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