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EC7095 Financial Statement Analysis
Lecture 7
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Recap – lecture 6 Shareholder/investor ratios Dividend yield EPS
Dividend cover PE ratio Earnings yield Net assets per share Balanced scorecard/Non financial performance indicators
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Intangible Assets An identifiable non-monetary asset without physical substance Identifiability – may be a problem It must be under the control of the entity It must have expected future economic benefits Internally generated goodwill
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Research and Development
Research – obtaining new knowledge Development – can be capitalised - Technically feasible - Intention to complete - Ability to use or sell - Demonstrate the existence of a market - Ability to measure the expenditure
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Other internally generated assets
International accounting standards prevent the recognition of: internally generated brands, publishing titles, customer lists etc. The following costs should be expensed as incurred – start up costs, advertising costs, training costs, business relocation costs
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Measuring intangibles in future periods
Cost model Revaluation model Useful life/amortisation
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Goodwill Is created by good relationships between a business and its customers Inherent v. purchased Value of purchased goodwill
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Impairment of assets Impairment arises where the carrying amount of the asset is greater than the “recoverable” amount Recoverable amount is the higher of its fair value (less costs to sell) and its value in use
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Indications of impairment
Greater than expected fall in market value Significant change in the technological, market or economic environment of the business in which the assets are employed An increase in cost of capital likely to affect the present value of an asset in use Carrying amount > market capitalisation
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Reporting financial performance
Accounting policies Changes Errors
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Accounting policies Basis of preparation Depreciation
Leasing commitments New standards
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Segmental reporting By business sector By geographical location
Revenues, operating profits, assets and liabilities
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Minimum disclosure Expense categories Profit after charging……….
Staff costs Movements in property plant and equipment
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Other information in the notes
Group companies Half year results 5 year history
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Other information in the financial statements
Chairman’s statement Directors’ report Corporate governance Remuneration report Auditors report
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Directors Report Chief Executive’s review Principal activities
Strategies and objectives Outlook and priorities Key performance indicators Risks and uncertainties Employees Social and environmental matters
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Financial Instruments
Financial assets Financial liabilities
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Foreign Currency Risk Translation risk Economic risk Transaction risk
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Transaction Risk - example
A UK exporter is due to receive $1m in 3 months time The current exchange rate is $1.40 to £1 That rate could rise or fall by up to 20% in the next 3 months
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Terminology Strong or weak £ Buy or sell Spot rate
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Spot rate example Exchange rates on 9th March were $/£ / Calculate the receipts from a $1m sale to a US customer Calculate the cost of paying an invoice of $1m
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Managing transactions risk – internal methods
Invoice in £’s Matching Netting Leading Lagging
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Forward exchange contracts
A binding contract with a bank covering a specific amount of foreign currency at an exchange rate agreed now Forward rate – Forward rate / Spot rate with premium or discount Spot 3 month forward US$/£ – – premium
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Forward rates - example
Spot rates are $/£ / and forward rates are $/£ / Calculate the receipts from a $1m sale to a US customer due to be received in 3 months time if forward rates are used Calculate the cost of paying an invoice of $1m in 3 months time if forward rates are used
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Forward rates - advantages
Simple Low up front costs Available in many currencies Can be available for more than 1 year ahead
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Forward rates - disadvantages
Binding contracts Fixed dates Rates may be unattractive
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Money market hedging Using the money market to avoid transaction risk
If we are due to receive dollars in the future we have a dollar asset so we match this with a dollar liability by taking out a loan in dollars If we are due to pay dollars in the future we match that liability to an asset in $ by investing $.
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Money market hedge - exporter
Expect $ revenue in 3 months time Borrow in $s today
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Money market hedge –example 1
J Ltd is due to receive $1m on 10th June. Spot Rate $/£ is / 3 month forward rate is / UK 3 month interest Rates 5.7% - 5.6% US 3 month interest Rates 4.4% - 4.3%
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Money market hedge - importer
Expect $ costs in 3 months time $ deposit today
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Money market hedge – 5 steps (importer)
$ now 4. Withdraw £s 3. $ deposit 1. Pay $s 3 mths 5. Compare to a forward 2. Using $ on deposit Determines the size of the $ deposit today
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Money market hedge –example 2
J Ltd is due to pay $1m on 10th June. Spot Rate $/£ is / 3 month forward rate is / UK 3 month interest Rates 5.7% - 5.6% US 3 month interest Rates 4.4% - 4.3%
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Money Market Hedge Advantage is greater flexibility
More complex than forward contract – no cheaper
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Derivatives Using other “products” to avoid risk Futures contracts
Options
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Futures contracts Contracts that fix the exchange rate for a set amount of currency over a specified period of time Currency futures are mainly available from the US markets such as NYBOT futures and options exchange They are flexible – a September future can be used on any day up to the end of September They are only available for large contract sizes Margin payments are required
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Currency Options Options are contracts giving the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a fixed amount of currency at a fixed rate in return for a premium Option to buy is called a “call” option Option to sell is called a “put” option “European” options have a fixed date – “over the counter options” “American” options can be “exercised” at any date before the end of the contract – “exchange traded options”
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Options – simple example
It is 1st October S plc wishes to hedge the “possible” receipt of $2m from the sale of a US subsidiary in December Spot Rate is $1.4615 An “over the counter” option for $2m with an exercise price of $1.47 can be bought for a premium of £50000 What will be the outcome if: (a) The exchange rate in December is 1.5 $/£ (b) The exchange rate in December is 1.4 $/£ (c) The sale does not take place
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Exchange Traded Options
Standard contract sizes Can be long term – quoted up to 2 years, but longer periods available Tradable – can be sold if not needed
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Interest Rate Risk Higher costs on existing loans
Higher costs on planned loans
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Managing interest rate risk
NOW – Plan a loan in 3 months time IN 3 MONTHS – Take out the loan Interest rates may have risen
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Managing interest rate risk - FRAs
£5m FRA at 5% Size of loan Start & end month Base rate guaranteed 11.4
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Illustration 1 - FRA A plc is planning to take out a 6 month loan of £5m in 3 months time but is concerned about the base rate (LIBOR) rising above its current level of 5.25% A plc has been offered a 3-9 FRA at 5.5% A plc can borrow at 1% above LIBOR
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Illustration 1 Continued
In 3 months time the base rate is 5.75% A plc will take out a loan at 6.75% Due to FRA they will receive compensation from the bank of 0.25% The net cost is 6.5% (1% over the base rate in the FRA)
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Illustration 1 Continued
In 3 months time the base rate is 4.5% A plc will take out a loan at 5.5% Due to FRA they will pay compensation from the bank of 1% The net cost is 6.5% (1% over the base rate in the FRA)
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Interest Rate Futures Futures are a separate agreement from the actual transaction They are a DERIVATIVE – their value is derived from movements in the base rate
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Exchange traded options
An option gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a commodity at an agreed price on or before an agreed date in exchange for a premium.
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