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AGRICULTURAL VALUE CHAIN
5 YEAR BUSINESS PLAN
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Introduction a) Sector History and contribution to SA Economy ( ) Graphical Representation for the periods on : i) Contribution to GDP See graph ii) Employment Levels iii) Export (% of Revenue) See graphs iv) Technology Diverse technology up and down the value chain (varies from basic to highly sophisticated technology) v) Other Appropriate information for the sector 1. Food Security (Global Food Security Index) 2. Rural Economy (Chapter 6 of NDP)
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CONTRIBUTION TO GDP Agro-Food/Beverage/Fibre Value Chain estimated at 14% of GDP (OECD, 2007; UNIDO, 2009 – quoting World Bank figures)
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EMPLOYMENT LEVELS Number of Jobs in Primary Agriculture
NB: No disaggregated figures available for secondary agriculture employment
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EXPORTS (PERCENTAGE OF REVENUE)
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SA Agricultural Trade Balance
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Introduction b) Sector Trends and Key Success Factors Trends : i)
Trends : i) Profitability and competitiveness of sector under pressure ii) Loss of agricultural land to mining and urbanisation iii) Changes in logistics / Degradation of infrastructure (Road/Rail/Harbour facilities/Rural security/Laboratories/Services) iv) Deteriorating regulatory, veterinary & extension services by Government v) Reduced Government investment in Research & Development, disease control and plant/animal health vi) Entrenched dualism in sector
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Introduction b) Sector Trends and Key Success Factors
Key success factors: i) Development of local processing capacity and subsequent increased production capability ii) Global Market Developments iii) Adoption of Conservation Agriculture and other critical sustainable agricultural initiatives (“More with less”) iv) Adoption of new technologies v) World-class institutional structure & capacity (Strong value chain cooperation and competition) vi) Common vision towards food security and food safety
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Sector Strategy and Plan
a) Sector Vision To achieve a sustainable and globally competitive agricultural sector that significantly contributes to inclusive GDP growth and ensures food security for the country through the efficient use of available resources by all participants while providing safe and nutritious food to consumers.
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Sector Strategy and Plan
b) Key Focus Areas i) Expansion of Markets - internationally and locally (Exports/Trade & non-tariff barriers/Increased R&D/Beneficiation) ii) Training and skills development iii) Feasible financing opportunities for new farmers (Development and commercial finance) iv) Climate change adaptation and disaster management v) Pest and disease management, including food safety considerations
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Sector Strategy and Plan
c) Sector Objectives (5 Years) 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 i) Investment in R mn (GCF-PA) 16 500 17 820 19 060 20 600 22 240 24 020 ii) Employment (New Jobs in PA) 20 000 20 000 iii) Trade Balance in R mn (+) 35 000 37 000 39 000 41 500 44 000 46 500 iv) Global Food Security Index (45) 45 43 41 39 37 35 vi) Sector Transformation (no Sector Scorecard)* vii) Statutory Transformation Levies R51,5mn R54,6 mn R57,8 mn R61,3 mn R65,0 mn R68,9 mn viii) Agricultural Debt (R bn) Development Finance (R bn) 185 5 200 7 215 10 231 13 247 17 258 22 ix) Other appropriate information for the sector *Various documented transformation initiatives and large enterprises have B-BBEE Scorecards Note: No statistics available for value chain on Youth Employment; Gender Diversity; Supply Chain; Social Contributions.
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Sector Strategy and Plan
d) Key Programmes / Activities to Support / Realise objectives Objective Programme i) Investment Advocate for enabling policy environment Agri-Development Agency Fund (R5,5 billion) (3(c) below) Various private sector initiatives ii) Job Creation Jobs Fund Access (~R1 billion) (3(c) below) Expansion in especially high-value fruit export industries Various other initiatives, e.g. SIZA iii) Others Implementation of Sector and Sub-sector Objectives
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Policy Constraints and Success Inhibitors
a) Requried Policy Changes i) PPP to assist with supply chain management (Regulatory / FTA's / PTA's / Trade remedies & policy) ii) Adoption & support of new technology & R&D (EPR/Crisp-R/Energy/Water/Climate change/PBR/Biosecurity) iii) Financing initiatives for new entrant farmers (Title Deed / Loans / Drought assistance / Blended finance / Insurance) iv) Maintenance and extension of private property rights, incl. land & water v) Turn-around strategy and implementation of infrastructure plan (Road / Rail / Harbours / Energy / Water)
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Policy Constraints and Success Inhibitors
b) Sector Success Inhibitors i) Lack of relevant and feasible trade policies to meet new global and local consumer demands ii) Declining investment and capability in R&D (ARC / DAFF / DRDRL / Inspection Services / Plant & Animal Health, etc.) iii) Lack of coordinated and targeted infrastructure investment, e.g. water, ports, etc. iv) Unco-ordinated Government programmes and support systems (National vs Provincial, Inter-Departmental, etc.) v) Lack of targeted incentives to increase productivity & transformation in sector (Tax relief/Service delivery/Tariffs) vi) Lack of capacity and skills (Legal registrations / Regulatory services / SETA's) vii) Illegal imports, international subsidies, crime and security.
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Policy Constraints and Success Inhibitors
3c) Government Support Required R millions 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 i) Soft loans (Government support) R2,75 bn R3,03 bn R3,33 bn R3,66 bn R4,03 bn R4,43 bn (Private sector contribution) ii) Crop insurance: Developing (75% subsidy) Commercial (25% subsidy) R18 m R207 m R25 m R227 m R32 m R247 m R40 m R272 m R48 m R297 m R59 m R322 m Iii) Biosafety for sector as whole + Plant & Animal Heath (Add.) R43 m R46 m R49 m R52 m R55 m iv) JV and BEE incentives R1 bn R1,1 bn R1,21 bn R1,33 bn R1,46 bn R1,61 bn v) Research and Development investment* 1% AgGDP 1,3% AgGDP 1,6% AgGDP 1,9% AgGDP 2,2% AgGDP 2,5% AgGDP vi) Implementation of Sector Objectives R27,5 m R30,3 m R33,3 m R36,6 m R40,3 m * Primary Agriculture
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Sector Commitment Statement
Industry is fully committed to the successful implementation of the five-year sector plan to benefit agriculture and the South African economy and nation as a whole through an inclusive M&E PPP structure
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THE END QUESTIONS
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