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Transport toekomstbestendig maken
Rotterdam, Vlaams Nederlandse Delta Conferentie © Bart Vannieuwenhuyse, TRI-VIZOR N.V. Bart Vannieuwenhuyse TRI-VIZOR NV Waterfront Research Park Galileilaan 15 B-2845 Niel (Antwerp South) T:
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European Transport : the modal split
Modal split in EU-28 (% of total number of ton-km)
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Transport Paradox Causes? Improvements…? Breakthroughs…?
World Economic Forum Supply Chain Study 24% of good vehicles in the EU are running empty Average loading of the rest is 57% Overall efficiency: 43% (!) Flow imbalance could only explain half of this loss How long can this continue? Transport and logistics responsible for 14-20% of global carbon footprint Growth in transport generates more and more capacity problems - congestion Causes? Improvements…? Breakthroughs…?
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Why current business models will fail very soon
Smaller shipments, more frequent Shorter leadtimes Customer on-demand Society bans capacity expansion Driver shortage E-commerce 57% Capacity Fillrate 51 Km/h Average Truck Speed TODAY 2050
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If we keep going, this will happen!
Service deterioration Bad quality Cost of “too late” (unpaid) cost for society Hidden cost Total Logistics Cost for company Direct cost TODAY 2050 E-commerce Shorter leadtimes Customer on-demand Driver shortage Smaller shipments, more frequent Society bans capacity expansion Direct transport and logistics costs Direct taxes
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Current transport system under pressure
Can be improved by: Pricing policy – smart and fair road pricing system; Efficiency – vertical and horizontal collaboration; Smart logistics – “design for logistics”; Multimodality > Co-modality > Synchromodality; Innovation – adding extra capacity through a new transport mode ULS : the fifth full transport mode
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Research agenda ALICE - EC
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Current transport system under pressure
Can be improved by: Pricing policy – smart and fair road pricing system; Efficiency – vertical and horizontal collaboration; Smart logistics – “design for logistics”; Multimodality > Co-modality > Synchromodality; Innovation – adding extra capacity through a new transport mode ULS : the fifth full transport mode
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ULS – the challenges Show that ULS is a sustainable and appropriate solution Various studies and pilots in Singapore, UK, Japan,… Study Braet: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of ULS To raise public awareness How to make the first step?
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The dilemma… Complete chaos “Beestenboel” We can create order…
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http://fpti-nl.com Bart Vannieuwenhuyse bavn@trivizor.com
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