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Chapter Topics The Composition of GDP The Demand for Goods
The Determination of Equilibrium Output Investment Equals Saving Is the Government Omnipotent? Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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Introduction Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Composition of GDP C -- Consumption I -- Fixed Investment
Goods and services purchased by consumers (68% of GDP) I -- Fixed Investment Nonresidential and residential investment (15% of GDP) G -- Government Spending Purchases by federal, state, and local governments. Excludes transfer payments (18% of GDP) Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Composition of GDP X - Q -- Net Exports IS -- Inventory Investment
Exports (X) (11% of GDP) - Imports (Q) (13% of GDP) X > Q -- trade surplus X < Q trade deficit (2% of GDP) IS -- Inventory Investment Production - sales (1% of GDP) Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Composition of GDP Billions of Dollars Percent of GDP
GDP (Y) Consumption (C) Investment (I) Nonresidential Residential Government Spending (G) Net Exports Exports (X) Imports (Q) Inventory Investment (IS) 61 1 Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Demand for Goods Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Demand for Goods Assumptions
1. All firms produce the same good (The Goods Market) 2. The supply of goods is completely elastic at price P 3. The economy is closed. (X - Q = 0) Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Demand for Goods Consumption (C)
The main determinant of C is disposable income (YD) The consumption function C = C(YD) C = C0 + C1YD C1 = propensity to consume 0 < C1 < 1 Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Demand for Goods Consumption (C) C = C0 + C1YD
C0 = C when YD is zero C = C0 + C1YD Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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Consumption and Disposable Income
Consumption, c Consumption function C = c0 + C1YD Slope = c1 Disposable Income,YD Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Demand for Goods Consumption (C)
In the U.S., the main taxes paid by individuals are: Income Social Security The main sources of government transfers are Medicare Medicaid Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Demand for Goods C = C0 +- C1YD Consumption (C)
Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Demand for Goods Investment is an exogenous variable
Endogenous Variables C is endogenous because it responds to production (Y) C = C0 – C1 (Y – T) Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Demand for Goods G & T describe fiscal policy G & T are exogenous
Government Spending (G) G & T describe fiscal policy G & T are exogenous no reliable behavioral role for G & T G & T are determined outside the model Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
Demand for Goods (Z) Demand for Goods (Z) depends on income (Y), taxes (T), investment ( I ), and government spending (G) Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
Assume Firms do not hold inventories Y = supply of goods Equilibrium occurs when: Supply of goods (Y) = Demand for goods (Z) Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
The Model and Equation Types Identity Equations Behavioral Equations Equilibrium Equations Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
Finding Equilibrium Y = supply Z = Demand = Y = Z @ equilibrium Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
Three Steps to Solving a Model 1) Algebra to confirm the logic 2) Graphs to build the intuition 3) Words to explain the results Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
The Algebra Equilibrium Condition Y=Z Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
The Algebra: Y=Z Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
Questions What determines the size of the multiplier? What does the multiplier imply? Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
Assume C0 increases by $1 billion C1 = 0.6 Question What is the change in Y due to the change in C0? Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
Questions for Discussion Would a change in I, G, or T have the same impact on Y? If I fell by $100 and C1=.8, what is the change in Y? If G increases by $75 and C1=.9, what is the change in Y? If T increases by $75 and C1=.9, what is the change in Y? If both G and T increase by $75, what is the change in Y? Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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Equilibrium in the Goods Market
45o line Production Demand (Z), Production (Y) Slope = 1 Y1 Y1 Income,Y Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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Equilibrium in the Goods Market
45o line Production ZZ ZZ depends on 1) autonomous spending 2) income Demand (Z), Production (Y) Demand Income,Y Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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Equilibrium in the Goods Market
45o line Production Slope = 1 ZZ A Demand (Z), Production (Y) Demand Equilibrium point: Y = Z Autonomous spending Income,Y Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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The Determination of Equilibrium Output
Question for Discussion What is the relationship between Z and Y at income levels less than Y and greater than Y? Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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Equilibrium in the Goods Market
ZZ’ Income,Y Demand (Z), Production (Y) 45o line Y ZZ A Y1 C D A’ Blanchard: Macroeconomics
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Equilibrium in the Goods Market
45o line 45o line ZZ’ A’ Y1 B ZZ ZZ Demand (Z), Production (Y) Demand (Z), Production (Y) Y Y A A Y Y Y1 Income,Y Income,Y
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Leakages and Injections
Another way to equilibrium Income = Expenditure C + S + T = C + I + G S + T = I + G
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