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TFMM 2016 Trend Report Main Findings
17th TFMM annual meeting – Utrecht (The Netherlands)
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TFMM Trend Assessment Process Methodology Nov 2014: May 2015:
Methodology workshop Paris May 2015: Overview TFMM Meeting Krakow Sep 2015: Outline by chapter (writing teams) Dec 2015: First complete draft for comments to TFMM Mar 2016: Revised pre-final draft sent to EMEP&WGE Extended Bureaux May 2016: Final version presented to TFMM Publication by CCC/NILU as joint TFMM/CCC/MSC- E/MSC-W Report Methodology Selection of measurement sites and consolidation of the database (available on TFMM wiki) Consensus statistical methodology Eurodelta-Trends modelling exercise
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Ozone 1990-2012: 10% reduction in the amplitude of peaks
20% reduction in the number of 50ppb exceedances 30% and 37% reduction of SOMO35 and AOT40 Different evolution in the 1990s and 2000s The trend depends on the metrics, less downward trends for the metrics influenced by the background
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Sulfur and nitrogen compounds and particulate matter
Ox. S Ox. N 60 to 90% reduction for Sulphur compounds over 20yrs 30 to 40% reduction for Nitrogen compounds over 20yrs 30% reductions of PM (10&2.5) for the 2000’s Red N. PM
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Heavy Metals and POPs 60 to 80% reductions for Pb, Cd, HCB
30% for Hg & BaP
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Way forward Publish the report as joint report: TFMM & Centres
Possibility to submit peer reviewed articles Dissemination Showcase the importance of long term high-quality measurement Demonstrate the efficiency of mitigation measures, and the need to maintain efforts Support modelling analyses (Eurodelta-Trends)
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