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“Applied International Economics – an analysis of current issues”
Course “Applied International Economics – an analysis of current issues” CLASS #3 21 February 2018
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US. Federal Debt Deficit Projections
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US. projected fiscal deficits
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US. GDP and Debt By President
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US. 10 yr treasury bond from 2000
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US. Upcoming Treasury FLood
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US. Treasury Bill, Net Supply
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US. T-bill auction
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US. Household Debt Rises by 116 Billion
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Central banks have become the bond market
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Early 19 is when global YoY “QE” turns negative (12m changes in balance sheets, in $bn)
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“Credit Looks Expensive” SocGen
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GaveKal. US nominal GDP and earnings from 2014
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Total Global Credit-Market Debt Owed
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US. output gap since 2006
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US. recession trigger since 1975
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US. Financial stress index St.Louis fed 2018-02-15
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US. Financial stress index St.Louis fed 2018-02-15, from 2000
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EZ. real per capita GDP since 2007. Conference Board
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France. CAC 40 Index
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NPLs in Europe 2017
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US. Household debt since 2002
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UK. consumer debt from 2000
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US. Auto loans subprime delinquency 2017-q3
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US. BB high-yield 2018-02-15 from 2010
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US dollar index WSJ
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US. Loan Rate and Interest Payments from 2004
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US. Equity vs bonds from 2008
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US. Long-term drivers of economic growth
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US. Labor force participation rate since 2006
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US. Median household real income since 1985
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US. Net worth to Disposable Y from 1950
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US. Real average wages from 1970
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US. U3 and CPI since 2007
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US. UIG from 1996
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US. wage share-of-income since 1950
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US. wage-growth from 2008
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US. wage-inequality since 1973
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US Real-savings VS disposable income to 2018
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United-states-productivity 2006 to 2016
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Decline of labor productivity
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Philips' curve
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