1. Space Environment Center Service Start to Finish Joe Hirman SEC Lab Review 11-12 July 2000

2. Space Environment Center Service, Start to Finish Understand space environment and its consequence on users Translate user needs into space weather products and services Evaluate and improve customer service

3. Space Environment Center Understand space environment and its consequence on users Understanding Space environment and space weather Impacts on technology and user applications Cutting edge users

4. Space Environment Center The Space Environment

5. Space Environment Center Some Effects of Space Weather

6. Space Environment Center Cutting Edge Users

7. Space Environment Center Understand space environment and its consequence on users Understanding Space environment and space weather Impacts on technology and user applications Cutting edge users Education Space Weather Week Industry/trade meetings Media, general public Publications, web, telephone, mail

8. Space Environment Center Understand space environment effects and user needs Understanding Space environment and space weather Impacts on technology and user applications Cutting edge users Education Space Weather Week Industry/trade meetings Media, general public Publications, web, telephone, mail Considerations General vs. specific and Environment vs. effect User requests and Forecaster needs Changes in scientific understanding, technology and user application

9. Space Environment Center The Solar Year

10. Space Environment Center Recent major improvements Scientific Understanding CME vs. Flare as a major source of space weather Solar wind signatures leading to geomagnetic activity Solar features predicting solar eruptions Research data and models Solar wind data from ACE Solar images from SOHO Physics based models (MSM) Technology PC computers Internet - WEB

11. Space Environment Center User Applications Grow over Time

12. Space Environment Center Translate user needs into space weather products and services Identify products Specification Warnings and Forecasts Event analysis (alerts) Data and models

13. Space Environment Center Translate user needs into space weather products and services Identify products Specification Warnings and Forecasts Event analysis (alerts) Data and models Develop service Acquire and process data Translate data into information Produce products 24/7 Joint operations

14. Space Environment Center Limited Observations

15. Space Environment Center Data into Information Observations Data Compilation Data transmission Information Processing Analysis Product Generation Dissemination to Users

16. Space Environment Center Space Weather vs. Weather

17. Space Environment Center Application

18. Space Environment Center The Nations Space Weather Service SEC Provides Services through…

19. Space Environment Center Space Weather Operations

20. Space Environment Center Translate user needs into space weather products and services Identify products Specification Warnings and Forecasts Event analysis (alerts) Data and models Develop service Acquire and process data Translate data into information Produce products 24/7 Joint operation Deliver information Dissemination using latest technology Vendors of Space Weather Services

21. Space Environment Center Evaluate and Improve Customer Service Apply service standards Published customer service standards Responsible scientist for major data sets Quality control of products and services

22. Space Environment Center Evaluate and Improve Customer Service Apply service standards Published customer service standards Responsible scientist for major data sets Quality control of products and services Perform product evaluation Forecast verification Surveys User feedback

23. Space Environment Center Evaluate and Improve Customer Service Apply service standards Published customer service standards Responsible scientist for major data sets Quality control of products and services Perform product evaluation Forecast verification Surveys User feedback Facilitate improvements Interactions with research community Transition research results into operations (RPC) Feedback to users, vendors, researchers,…

24. Space Environment Center NOAA Space Weather Scales Measures: Kp GOES >10 MeV protons Goes X-Rays Extreme Severe Strong Moderate Minor Geomagnetic Storms Solar Radiation Storms Radio Blackouts 5 High Radiation Hazard 4 Power Grid Instability 3 HF Blackout for an Hour 2 Infrequent SEU 1 Minor Impact on Satellites

25. Space Environment Center Transition Projects Underway CTIM owner Tim Fuller-Rowell IDS owner Tom DeFoor IMAGE owner Terry Onsager Magnetopause owner Tom Detman Relativistic Electrons owner Capt Chris Smithtro Solar2000 owner Rod Viereck Storm owner Tim Fuller-Rowell SXI owner Steve Hill Wang Sheeley owner Vic Pizzo SPE – owner Howard Garcia Kp – owner Tom Detman

26. Space Environment Center Transition Projects Needed Real-time quality diagnostics of issued forecasts Model Output Statistics-type guidance for all forecasts Geomagnetic storm end-time forecast Prediction of geomagnetic activity from CME observations EUV index Radiation belt index Better ability to forecast from coronal hole observations Improved image analysis capabilities

27. Space Environment Center Forecaster Needs (NOAA and USAF) Improve geomagnetic A, K and probability forecasts (hours to days). Improve Solar Particle Events (SPE) forecasts to include start, max, end times; peak flux, spectra; fluence; and probability of occurrence. Improve short-term (days) F10.7 forecasts. Improve short-term (days) x-ray flare predictions.

28. Space Environment Center Service, Start to Finish Summary Understanding Space environment Effects Users Development Products Service Delivery Improvements Evaluation Transition Feedback

29. Space Environment Center Space Weather Operations