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EGU, CL4.7 Sea Level Rise, Vienna, AT, 8 April 2019

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Presentation on theme: "EGU, CL4.7 Sea Level Rise, Vienna, AT, 8 April 2019"— Presentation transcript:

1 EGU, CL4.7 Sea Level Rise, Vienna, AT, 8 April 2019
Global glacier mass changes and their contributions to sea-level rise from 1961 to 2016 Zemp, M., Huss, M., Thibert, E., Eckert, N., McNabb, R., Huber, J., Barandun, M., Machguth, H., Nussbaumer, S.U., Gärtner-Roer, I., Thomson, L., Paul, F., Maussion, F., Kutuzov, S., and Cogley, J.G. Glaciers online:

2 intro data methods results take home
Glaciers distinct from the Greenland & Antarctic Ice Sheets 215,000 glaciers · 158,000 km3 · 0.32 m potential SLE Farinotti et al. (2019), Nature Geoscience

3 intro data methods results take home
glacier sample ~ 500 The Alps Kääb et al. (2013) Photo: M. Zemp

4 intro data methods results take home
TanDEM-X, DLR Pleiades, CNES Airbus Cryosat-2, ESA Graphic: P. Joerg

5 intro data methods results take home
New glacier change assessment Consolidate glaciological sample Boost geodetic sample New method to combine glaciol. and geodetic results Temporal variability from glaciol. sample Calibration to geodetic values Extrapolation to full sample Uncertainty assessment Expert workshop Ibergeregg, CH 14-17 March 2018 Publication for upcoming IPCC reports: SROCC

6 mzemp ¦ wgms ¦ research ¦ outlook ¦ teaching ¦ summary
Worldwide glacier datasets Thanks to all glaciologists for sharing their data with the community through the WGMS! Zemp et al. (2019)

7 intro data methods results take home
Boost the geodetic sample km2 m a.s.l. km2 observational samples: glaciological from 450 glaciers geodetic from 19,130 glaciers Zemp et al. (2019)

8 intro data methods results take home
Extraction of temporal variability from glaciol. sample building on Lliboutry’s linear model J. Glaciol. 1974 Zemp et al. (2019)

9 intro data methods results take home
Calibration to glacier-specific geodetic series g(t)+z(t) Zemp et al. (2019)

10 intro data methods results take home
Cumulative glacier mass changes Glacier mass loss / Area.ch = 9625 x 10^9 t (or: m^3 w.e.) / x 10^6 m^2 = 233 m w.e. or 250 m ice cover over Switzerland (125 m ice cover over Austria, km^2; 30 m ice cover over Germany, km^2) Zemp et al. (2019)

11 intro data methods results take home
Cumulative glacier mass changes Zemp et al. (2019)

12 intro data methods results take home
Glacier mass changes rates from Southern Andes Alaska Zemp et al. (2019) Southern Andes Alaska

13 intro data methods results take home
Annual glacier contributions to sea-level rise Global ΔM : -335 Gt yr-1 about 1 mm SLE yr-1 (3 x remaining ice of the Alps) Zemp et al. (2019)

14 intro data methods results take home
Main contributions to sea-level budget Antarctic Ice Sheet residuals Greenland Ice Sheet thermal expansion glaciers Glacier data from Zemp et al. (2019), other values from Cazenave et al. (2018), observed GMSLR: 3.5 mm per year

15 intro data methods results take home
Current glacier contributions to global sea-level rise: about 1 mm SLE per year (3x remaining ice of the Alps) ¼ of GMSLR Today 17:00 in Nature


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