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MANAGING FLOOD RISK Protecting People and Property in the Floodplain
JONESBORO, ARKANSAS JUNE 19, 2019 MANAGING FLOOD RISK Protecting People and Property in the Floodplain Whit Montague, CFM State NFIP Coordinator and State Climatologist
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Flood Risk
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Flood Risk Difficult to delineate floodplain
Does not incorporate significant changes since 1991 Does not communicate risk in a meaningful way
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Better Communication: Flood Risk
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Base Level Engineering
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Better Communication
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Better Communication
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What is Base Level Engineering?
Non-regulatory engineering analysis to provide predicted areas of flood risk for possible future FIRMs Engineering baseline that allows FEMA to assess its current flood maps Flood risk data that provides a platform for broader risk communications
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What is Base Level Engineering?
Engineering modeling that may be used and leveraged by local communities to review the effect of development in and around the floodplain. Does NOT replace your current FIRMs
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Why Base Level Engineering?
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Better Data Better Assessment
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What do you get? Engineering Models (1D or 2D)
10-yr, 25-yr, 50-yr, 100-yr, 500-yr Estimated Flood Map Estimated Depth Grid Estimated WSE Grid
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Informed Decision Making
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Informed Decision Making
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LOWER ST FRANCIS
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It’s Perfect…Right? In Arkansas…
Data developed using semi-automated procedures Hydrology is simplified but still detailed Can always be refined Hydraulics has some structure data in it Road Embankments No actual structure data (e.g., no culverts, bridges, etc) It’s Perfect…Right?
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Development in the SFHA
buildings or other structures mining dredging filling grading paving excavation drilling operations storage of equipment or materials 59.1. Definition: ANY man-made change to improved or unimproved real estate Development in the SFHA
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Development in the SFHA
59.1. Definition: ANY man-made change to improved or unimproved real estate Development in the SFHA
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Development in the SFHA
59.1. Definition: ANY man-made change to improved or unimproved real estate
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Development in the SFHA
59.1. Definition: ANY man-made change to improved or unimproved real estate Development in the SFHA
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Higher Standards What can be done locally to mitigate future losses?
How do higher standards help with mitigation?
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Higher Standards What can be done locally to mitigate future losses?
How do higher standards help with mitigation? Higher Standards
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Causes and Future Forecast
Why was the flooding so extensive? What does this mean for the future? What are we expecting this year?
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Causes and Future Forecast
Why was the flooding so extensive? What does this mean for the future? What are we expecting this year? Causes and Future Forecast
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Questions?
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ANRC Resources Whit Montague, CFM
State NFIP Coordinator and State Climatologist ANRC Resources
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Social Media Whit Montague, CFM
State NFIP Coordinator and State Climatologist Social Media
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