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Moments of probability distributions
The moments of a probability distribution are a way of characterising its position and shape. Strong physical analogy with moments in mechanics of rigid bodies Centre of gravity Moment of inertia Higher moments
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Mean and median Mean value (centre of gravity)
<x> Mean value (centre of gravity) Median value (50th percentile) f(x) x F(x) 1 1/2 xmed x
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Variance and standard deviation
Standard deviation measures width of distribution. Variance (moment of inertia) <x> f(x) - + x
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Example: Gaussian distribution G(,2)
Also known as a normal distribution. Physical example: thermal Doppler broadening Mean value: <x> = Variance: x Full width at half maximum value (FWHM) 32% probability that a value lies outside ± 4.5% probability a value lies outside ±2 0.3% probability a value lies outside ±3 f(x) - + x
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Higher central moments
General form: e.g. Skewness (m3): e.g. Kurtosis (m4): f(x) x f(x) Peaky Boxy x
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(Pathological) example: Lorentzian (Cauchy) distribution
Physical example: damping wings of spectral lines. Wings are so wide that no moments converge! f(x) x/ F(x) x/
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Poisson distribution P()
Bin number Counts per bin = 5 A discrete distribution Describes counting statistics: Raindrops in bucket per time interval Cars on road per time interval Photons per pixel during exposure = mean count rate P 1 2 4 8 x
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Exponential distribution
Distribution of time intervals between events Raindrops, cars, photons etc A continuous distribution
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