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Berkshire Labour Market Update Q1 2019

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1 Berkshire Labour Market Update Q1 2019

2 Our quarterly Berkshire Labour Market Updates provide a comprehensive evidence base for the Elevate Berkshire programme. Elevate Berkshire aims to address unemployment and underemployment amongst year-olds to enable some of the ‘hardest to reach’ young people find jobs, stay in work and develop rewarding careers. The first part of the report focuses on young people in the labour market, whilst the second part provides contextual information about the Berkshire labour market as a whole. Caroline About this report

3 Contents Part 1 – Berkshire’s youth labour market
Elevate Berkshire cohort Youth unemployment Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET) Job market for entry level positions Job opportunities Job losses Part 2 – Labour market trends Labour market overview by local area Employment, unemployment and inactivity trends Jobseekers Job market Skills in demand Contents

4 Key messages for Elevate Berkshire partners
This report is intended to be used as a reference document to help develop local intervention strategies and monitor progress. The reports include data on: The size of the Elevate Cohort 16/17 year olds Not in Education, Training or Employment Most frequently advertised entry level jobs Please note, some datasets include full-time students and others do not. Please take this into account when interpreting findings. Key messages for Elevate Berkshire partners

5 Overview The Berkshire Labour Market – Winter 2019
The UK labour market continues to expand despite the uncertainties surrounding Brexit. Employment rates are at a record high and unemployment is at its lowest rate for 42 years. In Berkshire, employment rates remain high, and unemployment and economic inactivity low. Employment and unemployment rates are now back at their strong pre-recession (2008) levels. The overall size of the Elevate Berkshire cohort (unemployed or economically inactive year olds who are not full-time students) stands at approximately 10,150*. The top three occupations for job postings during the fourth quarter of 2018 were: office & administrative assistants, account managers /representatives and software developer engineers. * This is based on survey data and is therefore subject to a degree of sampling variability. Overview

6 Berkshire’s youth labour market

7 Key points The Elevate Berkshire cohort: Unemployed or economically
inactive year olds living in Berkshire Key points This graph shows the number of year-olds in Berkshire who are either unemployed or economically inactive and are not full-time students. This is the target cohort for the Elevate Berkshire programme Between January 2018 and December 2018 there were in the region of 10,150 young people in this cohort at any one point in time, which equates to approximately 1 in 9 of all year-olds Some of those within the cohort will be unavailable for work. For example, those with caring responsibilities or limiting health conditions The majority of economically inactive young people are female and aged The Graph is updated Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS (students excluded)

8 Unemployment amongst 16-24 year olds living in Berkshire (volume and rate)
Key points The number of young people in Berkshire who are unemployed* has steadily decreased over the last two years Berkshire youth unemployment rate has fallen below it’s pre-recession (2008) low for the first time. *16-24 year olds who are not currently working, but would like to, and have actively sought employment within the last 4 weeks ** Please note, this measure of unemployment includes students updated Source: Annual Population Survey**, ONS. N.B. some fluctuation is due to sampling variation

9 Youth unemployment by Local Enterprise Partnership area - 2018
Key points Youth unemployment in Berkshire is lower than the national average and is broadly in line with South East regional average Three Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP) areas have lower youth unemployment than Berkshire in 2018, compared to in 2017 there were six LEPs with lower unemployment. Data is not available for Oxfordshire and Gloucestershire LEPs due to small sample sizes . Updated Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS Data for the period January 2018 to December 2018

10 Key points Young people claiming unemployment benefit in Berkshire
It is estimated that only 20% of Berkshire’s young people who are unemployed (and are not full-time students) are claiming unemployment benefit (Jobseekers Allowance or Universal Credit) The number of claimants has been rising since May 2018. Since May 2018, all Berkshire JobCentres have been providing Universal Credit Full Service. The design of Universal Credit means that additional people will be counted in Claimant Count data and therefore these figures are likely to rise (irrespective of the performance of the local economy). The changes mean the Claimant Count has become a less reliable indictor of changes in labour market performance at both the local and national level. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) are currently running a consultation on the design of a potential new measure. Updated Source: DWP, Claimant Count

11 16-17 year olds Not in Education, Employment or Training - 2018
Key points Number of 16 and 17 year olds known to the local authority1 Total number NEET (inc not known) Proportion NEET (inc not known) of which known to be NEET of which activity not known Bracknell Forest 2,550 610 24% 3% 21% Reading 3,100 190 6% Slough 3,570 120 2% 1% West Berkshire 3,410 80 Windsor and Maidenhead 2,420 470 19% Wokingham 3,290 180 4% In addition to data on unemployment, inactivity and benefit claimants, local authorities collect data on year-olds who are Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET) In terms of definitions, a young person could be unemployed but not NEET (because they are undertaking training) or be NEET but not unemployed (because they are not seeking employment) Excluding Bracknell Forest and Windsor and Maidenhead (where a large amount of activity is not known), Reading has the highest NEET / Activity Not Known figures for year-olds within Berkshire, and West Berkshire the lowest Source: DfE, NEET and participation: local authority figures. Data relates to December 2017, January 2018 and February 2018 Next update due – June 2019 No updated data released

12 Key points Most frequently advertised Level 1 / 2 entry level jobs in Berkshire We can analyse job adverts posted online to get an idea of roles that are in high demand within the local economy and the type of skills they demand The next few slides provide details on the most commonly advertised entry level jobs at different educational levels An entry level job is defined as a job that requires 0-2 years experience, and is therefore potentially suitable for young people This slide provides a list of the most frequently advertised entry level jobs that require applicants to have level 1 or 2 qualifications (e.g. GCSEs, NVQs at levels 1 or 2, Intermediate Apprenticeships) In 2018, Teaching Assistant topped the list, followed by Personal Care Assistant and Chef Teaching Assistant Maintenance Engineer Personal Care Assistant Apprentice Administrator Chef Support Worker Primary School Teacher Customer Service Advisor Science Teacher Teacher English Teacher Carpenter SEN Teacher Assistant Mechanic Maths Teacher Nursery Nurse Auxiliary Nurse Hair Dresser Teacher’s Assistant Beauty Therapist Updated Source: Labour Insight, Burning Glass Technologies, 2019

13 Key points Most frequently advertised Level 3, 4 and 5 entry level jobs in Berkshire Beauty Therapist Spa Therapist Electrician Mechanic / MOT Tester Nursery Nurse Mechanical Engineer Chef Mechanical Design Engineer Maths Teacher Contract Manager Quantity Surveyor Science Teacher Maintenance Engineer Project Manager English Teacher Nursery Practitioner Personal Care Assistant Sales Engineer Electrical Engineer Nursery Room Leader This slide provides a list of the most frequently advertised entry level jobs that require applicants to have level 3, 4 or 5 qualifications (e.g. A-levels, NVQs at levels 3, 4 or 5, Advanced Apprenticeships, Higher Apprenticeships, HNCs, HNDs and Foundation Degrees) Beauty Therapist tops the list again, followed by Electrician and Nursery Nurse updated Source: Labour Insight, Burning Glass Technologies, 2019

14 Key points Staff Nurse Sales Engineer Accounts Manager Data Analyst
Most frequently advertised Level 6 and above entry level jobs in Berkshire This slide provides a list of the most frequently advertised entry level jobs that require applicants to have level 6 or above qualifications (i.e. degree level or higher) Staff Nurse tops this list, followed by Accounts Manager and Quantity Surveyor Staff Nurse Sales Engineer Accounts Manager Data Analyst Quantity Surveyor Social Worker Software Development Engineer Solutions Architect Sales Manager Marketing Manager Software Developer Business Analyst Business Development Executive Recruiting Consultant Sales Executive Accountant Java Software Developer Primary School Teacher Sales Representative Technical Support Engineer Updated Source: Labour Insight, Burning Glass Technologies, 2019

15 Berkshire’s labour market trends (all ages)

16 Key points Comparative picture of Berkshire’s labour market – 2017/18
Labour supply Labour demand Population Employment Unemployment Economic inactivity Claimant Count Jobs Earnings 16-64 (000s) Total 16+ (000s) Rate (%) Level Proportion (%) Total (000s) Jobs Density (ratio) Resident Workplace (£) England 34,729 27,224 75.4 1,175 4.2 16,167 21.3 739,583 2.1 30,323 0.87 575 South East 5,559 4,530 78.0 160 3.5 2,569 19.2 76,148 1.4 4,886 615 589 THAMES VALLEY BERKSHIRE 570 471 79.8 15 3.1 220 17.6 6,486 1.1 580 1.01 652 681 Bracknell Forest 77 68 85.0 1 1.7 26 13.5 642 0.8 71 0.91 609 683 Reading 110 87 77.1 4 4.5 42 19.3 2,058 1.9 120 1.10 613 657 Slough 96 73 74.5 3 33 22.2 1,453 1.5 92 0.97 605 679 West Berkshire 83 82.2 2.9 39 15.3 910 0.9 108 1.11 632 684 Windsor and Maidenhead 91 80.9 2 2.6 16.9 740 93 720 663 Wokingham 100 80.7 2.2 17.5 0.7 95 0.94 737 719 Bordering local authorities Basingstoke and Deane 112 101 87.5 ! 12.5 1,135 1.0 0.83 624 Hart 54 48 86.5 5.0 21 8.9 262 0.4 670 623 Hillingdon 199 153 75.2 7 4.1 76 21.6 2,573 1.3 215 1.09 607 614 Runnymede 59 45 72.0 25 26.7 383 63 647 South Bucks 35 81.4 19 17.9 286 1.08 735 South Oxfordshire 84 72 81.3 2.5 37 16.6 686 0.90 699 573 Spelthorne 56 86.9 18 11.3 559 44 0.71 628 608 Surrey Heath 43 80.0 28 16.5 328 0.6 65 1.20 742 582 Test Valley 64 82.7 34 14.8 571 66 0.89 662 574 Vale of White Horse 79 62 75.3 41 22.3 768 74 0.93 645 Wiltshire 291 247 79.7 8 3.2 139 17.7 4,150 259 562 534 Wycombe 106 89 78.9 4.8 17.1 1,293 1.2 99 622 Berkshire has a higher employment rate, and lower unemployment and economic inactivity rates than both the national and regional averages Within Berkshire, Bracknell Forest has the highest employment rate (85%) and Slough the lowest (74.5%) Unemployment rates range from 4.5% in Reading to 1.7 % in Bracknell Forest. Slough and Reading are the only Berkshire local authority areas with unemployment rates higher than the regional average Economic inactivity rates vary quite a bit across Berkshire, from 22.2% in West Berkshire to 13.5% in Bracknell Forest. People can be economically inactive for a wide range of reasons. The high figure in Reading is likely due to the higher concentration of students. In four of Berkshire’s six local authority areas, workplace earnings are higher than resident earnings. The exceptions being Windsor and Maidenhead and Wokingham. Updated Table LI01 LOCAL AUTHORITY Table LI05 LEP Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS

17 Trends in employment, unemployment and economic inactivity
Key points Employment rates have risen steadily in Berkshire over the last four year and now stand at 79.8% Unemployment and economic inactivity rates have declined steadily These trends mirror the national trend The next three slides show the longer term trends in employment and unemployment Updated Source: Annual Population Survey, 2019, ONS

18 Employment rate trends from 2004 to 2018
Key points Berkshire’s employment rate (in blue) has, broadly speaking, been rising since 2011 This mirrors the national picture Berkshire’s employment rate has now surpassed its pre-recession peak Berkshire’s employment rate is approximately five percentage points high than the national rate Updated Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS

19 Unemployment rate trends from 2004 to 2018
Key points Unemployment rates in Berkshire have, broadly speaking, been falling since mid 2009 It took longer for England’s unemployment rate to start falling post recession, doing so in mid 2013 Berkshire’s unemployment rate has now fallen below its pre-recession low. Updated Source: Annual Population Survey, ONS – Model based estimates

20 Unemployment rate trends from 2004 to 2018 by local authority
Key points Within Berkshire, unemployment is once highest in Reading. During the recession, unemployment rates rose highest in Slough, reaching a peak of nearly 10%. The rate then dropped considerably by 2015 Unemployment rates in Reading and Slough is over 4%, the remaining four local authority areas are very low (less than 3%) Updated Source: Annual Population Survey, model-based estimates, ONS N.B. some fluctuation is due to sampling variation

21 Jobseekers Key points Understanding who is seeking work and why people are economically inactive in Berkshire Currently, approximately 33,100 people in Berkshire are not working but would like to Of these, 45% are actively seeking work and are therefore classified as being unemployed The main reason for people being economically inactive in Berkshire is that they are looking after family or home, followed by being a student A much lower proportion are inactive due to long-term sickness in Berkshire than the national average *Those who ideally want a job but haven’t sought work in the last few weeks. This includes people with caring responsibilities who may struggle to find work to fit around those responsibilities. Reason for being economically inactive Thames Valley Berkshire South East England Who want a job 18.4 20.8 22.6 Who do not want a job 81.6 79.2 77.4 Student 27.8 27.1 27.2 Looking after family/home 28.5 24.4 24.2 Long-term sick 15.4 21.9 18.5 Retired 13.2 12.9 15.3 updated Source: Annual Population Survey, January 2018 – December 2018, ONS

22 Most frequently advertised job vacancies in Berkshire, Q4 2018
Key points Position Occupation Changes in ranking from Q3 2018 1 Office / Administrative Assistant Up 3 places 2 Account Manager / Representative No change 3 Software Developer Engineer Down 2 places 4 Customer Service Representative 5 Project Manager 6 Registered General Nurse (RGN) Down 1 place 7 Sales Manager 8 Chef Up 1 place 9 Computer Support Specialist 10 Recruiter No Change In Q4 of 2018, Office / Administrative Assistant were in highest demand across Berkshire, followed by Account Manager / Representative and Software Developer Engineer. Occupations moving up the rankings from the previous quarter included office / administrative assistants; customer service representatives and chefs. Updated Source: Labour Insight, Burning Glass Technologies, 2019

23 General skills in highest demand in Berkshire, 2018
Key points Communications skills are by far the highest ‘general skill’ demanded by Berkshire employers Organisational skills and Planning are ranked second and third, followed by Detailed-Orientated . General skills in highest demand in Berkshire, 2018 updated Source: Labour Insight, Burning Glass Technologies, 2019

24 Specialist skills in highest demand in Berkshire, 2017 and 2018
Key points Specialist skills in highest demand in Berkshire, 2017 and 2018 Customer service skills topped the specialist skills ranking in 2018 for the fourth year in a row, followed by Teamwork / Collaboration Sales Customer Service and Teamwork / Collaboration Sales were the ‘highest climbers’ between 2017 and 2018 A smaller proportion of job postings required people with ‘Building Effective Relationships’ skills in 2018 than in 2017 Updated Source: Labour Insight, Burning Glass Technologies, 2019

25 Computing skills in highest demand in Berkshire, 2018
Key points Microsoft Excel skills remain the most commonly sought computing skill of Berkshire employers Programming languages in highest demand in 2018 were SQL, Javascript, LINUX and Java. Computing skills in highest demand in Berkshire, 2018 Updated Source: Labour Insight, Burning Glass Technologies, 2019

26 Other research publications
The following labour market and business research publications can be found on the Thames Valley Berkshire LEP website, here: Apprenticeships in Berkshire Business in Berkshire Berkshire Economic Update LMI for Schools Thames Valley Berkshire Skills Priority Statement Impact of the Apprenticeship Levy Other research publications


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