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Inflation
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Inflation Consistent increase in the general price level Types
Creeping Slow to moderate Hyper-inflation Triple digit Core inflation Excludes volatile goods like oil and agriculture
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Functions of Money Medium of exchange Store of value Unit of account
Allows deferral of payments over time Unit of account Goods and services can be put into common unit ***INFLATION DIMINISHES THESE FUNCTIONS
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Deflation General price level decrease not to be confused with
Disinflation (fall in rate of inflation ex. 7% to 3%)
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Costs of Inflation Redistribution Effects Losers (loss of real income)
Fixed incomes Lenders Savers ***Inflation erodes real interest rate Lender loans money at 7% Inflation = 6% Real return= 1%
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Winners Borrowers Wealthy Erodes real debt of original loan
Borrow at 7% Inflation=6% Real rate of borrowing=1% Wealthy Better information Find inflation resistant assets Land and fixed assets
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Negative Effects on Growth
Causes increased interest rates Lowers Investment Output Increases unemployment
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Behavioral Distortions in the Economy
Can affect present and future consumption of firms and households
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Shoe Leather and Menu Costs
Opportunity cost of shopping for the best prices (market analysis) Loss of productivity Menu Costs Increased opportunity costs of updating prices and “menus”
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Breakdown of Monetary System
Functions of money can wear down Hyper-inflation Currency becomes useless Revert back to barter economy High search costs to find co-wants and needs Disruptions to govt. sector Cash flow issues
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Exchange Rates and Trade
High inflation Causes domestic currency value to fall Why? Higher prices = less exports Currency Derived Demand falls Exchange rate falls Increased exports Decreased imports
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3.5.3 Costs of Deflation Benign Deflation SRAS shift right
Price decrease from A to C Economy is growing Real income increase
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Malignant Deflation Decrease in AD leftward Output falls
Savings increases and Consumption falls Investment falls DEFLATIONARY SPIRAL GREAT DEPRESSION
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Solutions for Deflation
Hard to fix Psychological element Increase inflationary expectations of households and firms Policies Quickly lowering interest rates Publicly announcing increase in target rate for inflation. Issue consumption certificates (tax rebate for consumption)-
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3.5.4 Causes of Inflation 2 Main Causes are Keynesian in nature
Cost-push Inflation pg. 433 Supply shift left Rising wages Fall in exchange rate= increase price of imported raw materials Increased labor taxes Stagflation = decrease in output + inflation Further S shift Higher wages bid up (to offset higher Prices) AD shift right Caused by increased wages and fiscal policies (transfer payments) Cost Push Spiral Continuing cycle of cost-push
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Demand Pull Inflation AD shift in short run SRAS shift left
Stimulatory fiscal/monetary policies Consumer confidence Result: higher prices Bids up wages SRAS shift left Higher wages =higher costs Cycle leads to Demand-pull spiral
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Excess Monetary Growth
Could be a cause of Demand Pull Inflation Increase Sm Drops interest rates Increases investment Increases AD Transmission Mechanism Classical/Monetarists Argue Money Supply is the best way to regulate the economy and inflation.
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