1. Atmospheric Predictability Group
BSc. Seminar
Presented by: Jake Casselman
(CHN P16.1

2. Research Topic of Group: Large-scale dynamics and predictability of the atmosphere, primarily over Europe.
Remote impacts on Europe from the tropics and their predictability
Stratosphere - troposphere coupling
Predictability of extreme events on S2S timescales
Timeseries and predictability analysis for the stratosphere and the NAO/AO

3. Revisiting the ENSO Teleconnection to the Tropical North Atlantic García-Serrano, Javier, et al. (2017)
Considers the robust teleconnection between the Pacific and Atlantic
Uses Reanalysis Datasets
Found that weakening trade winds, caused by a secondary Gill-type response, could act as a forth mechanism

4. Impact of ENSO longitudinal position on teleconnection to the NAO Zhang, Wenjun, et al. (2018)
Considers the complex relationship between the NAO and ENSO by splitting ENSO into central and eastern events
Uses Reanalysis Datasets in addition to a global atmospheric model
Found that central events are linear and eastern events are nonlinear

5. Multidecadal modulation of El Nino influence on the Euro-Mediterranean rainfall López‐Parages, Jorge, and Belén Rodríguez‐Fonseca(2012)
Considers the non-stationary nature of ENSO teleconnections over Europe through the natural multidecadal modes of:
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
Uses gridded data indices and principle component analysis
Found that the modulating factor during late winter and spring was AMO, while PDO was the main factor during the fall