1. LAMAS Working Group 13-14 June 2018
Agenda Item 2.3 Breaks in monthly time series

2. OUTLINE
I. Background II. Typology of MUR methodologies III. Stock Taking Exercise IV. Conclusions

3. I. BACKGROUND MUR series' characteristics Main issues at stake
Principal European Economic Indicator
High visibility
Various methods in use
Main issues at stake
DSS called for a joint release strategy
Interdependencies with breaks in quarterly data
Uncertainty on the size of the break

4. II. Typology of MUR methodologies
Estimates from LFS sample
Pure monthly extractions for 10 MS – break in reference month January 2021
3 months moving averages – break in reference month February 2021
Hybrid methods
Quarterly figures essential (Main Indicators)
Old concept until LFS-Q1 is available i.e. as of reference month April 2021

5. III. Stock Taking Exercise (1)
Estimates from LFS sample
When will MUR data become available in the new concept?
When will they become available, break-free?
Hybrid methods
When will quarterly LFS data (used as a benchmark) become available in the new concept?
Exchange of Views: availability of data clarified by HR, MT, LT, SE, IS and NO.

6. III. Stock Taking Exercise (2)
Number of countries not able to provide any data / out of 30
8 MS until (ref. month) January 2021
6 MS until February 2021
5 MS until March 2021
2 MS until April 2021
0 MS until May 2021
Availability of break-free series
11 MS from (ref. month) May 2021
14 MS from September 2021
All MSs from January 2022

7. IV. Conclusions LAMAS delegates are invited:
To confirm or correct the information provided as regards
From which reference month MUR data will become available in the new concept (even with breaks)
When they will become available break-free
For countries having not transmitted this information to Eurostat (DE, IE, LV, FI and the UK) to commit doing so by the end of September 2018